Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/2/2023 Predictions, Odds and Free Picks
On Tuesday, May 2, 2023, at 10:10 PM ET, the Philadelphia Phillies will play against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Dodger Stadium, CA. Despite a slow start, the Phillies have rebounded this year, winning four consecutive sets, including a two-game victory over the Houston Astros, last year’s World Series runner-up. Last week, the team went 4-2 and scored 22 runs with a .252/.290/.406 batting line. Currently, they are averaging 4.34 runs per game, which ranks 18th in the majors, thanks to a solid triple-slash of .272/.327/.444.
Left-handed pitcher Matt Strahm, 31, who has a 2-2 record with a spectacular 2.31 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and 32/7 K/BB ratio in five starts and one bullpen appearance (covering 23.1 innings), will be pitching for the Phillies in Tuesday’s game against the Dodgers. In his last outing, he threw 5.1 shutout innings and earned a 1-0 win over the Seattle Mariners at home. Strahm’s projected slugging percentage places him in the 71st percentile, while his hard-hit percentage and barrel percentage rank him in the 24th and 28th percentiles, respectively.
- The Philadelphia Phillies are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Dodgers.
- The total stayed UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games on the road.
- The total went OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games on the road against the LA Dodgers.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/2/2023 Predictions, Odds and Free Picks
The Los Angeles Dodgers were aiming for their fourth consecutive win in their matchup against Philadelphia on Monday. They bounced back from two straight losses to the Pittsburgh Pirates (8-1 and 6-2) by sweeping a three-game home series against the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend (7-3, 1-0, and 6-3). The Dodgers are scoring 5.03 runs per game (9th in MLB) while hitting .224/.320/.433. In the last seven days and 191 at-bats, they hit just .204/.294/.325 with four homers and 11 doubles. On the other hand, the Dodgers are allowing 4.45 runs per game, which ranks them 14th, while also having a 4.43 ERA, which ranks 18th, and a 1.28 WHIP, which ranks 13th.
Julio Urias, a 26-year-old lefty, is 3-3 with a 4.41 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and a 35/7 K/BB ratio this year in his six starts (32.2 IP). He pitched nine innings in each of his last two starts, giving up 11 earned runs on 14 hits and four walks. Urias is ranked in the 49th and 63rd percentiles for expected slugging percentage and barrel percentage, respectively.
- The total went OVER in 6 of the LA Dodgers’ last 8 matches with the Phillies.
- The Los Angeles Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.
- The total hung OVER in 5 of the Dodgers’ last 5 games at home against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers. The MLB pick for this game is the Philadelphia Phillies. The current Dodgers are 13-for-42 with two homers against Matt Strahm, but in 2023, they have a terrible 71 OPS+ against left-handed pitchers. The Phillies, on the other hand, have a 107 OPS+ this year versus lefties. They are 13-for-53 with two home runs against Julio Urias, while Trea Turner, Nick Castellanos, and Alec Bohm are all 3-for-8. Julio Urias is not at his best physically. His four-seamer now has a plus-1 run value compared to a minus-16 run value in 2022. On paper, the Phillies should have the edge, but it’s hard to trust Matt Strahm. The Phillies will win by a predicted score of 6-4.
MLB Starting Time:10:10 PM ET
Location: Dodger Stadium, CA
Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
TV: ESP+
MLB Odds: Philadelphia Phillies +138
MLB Totals: 8.5
