Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners 5/5/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks
The Houston Astros are traveling to Seattle to play the Mariners in a three-game series starting Friday night. After winning the first game against the Giants, the Astros lost four of their last six games and are looking to get back on track. In their most recent game on Wednesday, they lost 4-2 against the Giants, despite Alex Bregman’s two-run homer in the eighth inning. The Astros’ starting pitcher for the series opener will be right-hander Cristian Javier. In six starts this season, he has a 2-1 record and a 3.48 ERA, allowing 31 hits in 33.2 innings with a K/9 rate of 9.4 and a WHIP of 1.14. While he has yet to win a game on the road this season, Javier has had only two starts, with an ERA of 3.75 and eight hits in 12 innings with a K/9 rate of 9.8. Javier’s strikeout percentage has dropped from 33.2% to 25%, but his hard-hit percentage has increased from last year.
The Astros will be facing Mariners’ right-handed pitcher Luis Castillo, who has a 2-0 record and a 1.82 ERA. The game is set to start at 10:10 PM EST. Unfortunately, second baseman Jose Altuve, center fielder Chas McCormick, and designated hitter Michael Brantley are all sidelined due to injuries.
The Astros will face the Mariners’ right-handed pitcher Luis Castillo, who has a 2-0 record and a 1.82 ERA. The game is scheduled to start at 10:10 PM EST. Second baseman Jose Altuve, center fielder Chas McCormick, and designated hitter Michael Brantley are all out due to injuries.
- The Houston Astros are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road against Seattle.
- The total stayed UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 9 games played in May.
- The total remained UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 12 games played on a Friday.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners 5/5/2023 Analysis, Odds and Free Picks
The Seattle Mariners are coming off a 5-5 road trip that took them to Philadelphia, Toronto, and Oakland. The Mariners capped off the trip with a 5-3 win over Oakland on Thursday afternoon. George Kirby pitched seven strong innings and gave up three runs on seven hits for his third win of the season. Taylor Trammell hit a home run and drove in three runs to power the offense.
The Mariners will start their ace Luis Castillo in the series opener against the Houston Astros 1 on Friday. Castillo is 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA in six starts, with three quality starts. He has allowed 24 hits in 34.2 innings with a 9.9 K/9 rate. He is 2-0 with a 1.14 ERA in four home starts this season. He also has an 11.0 K/9 rate and a 0.68 WHIP at home. Castillo has a high hard-hit rate this year of 49%, which is much higher than his career average of 36.8%. Castillo’s strikeout percentage is 28.1%, which is above the league average.
- The Seattle Mariners are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games at home against Houston.
- The total stayed UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games with an opponent in the American League.
- The Mariners are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AL West Division.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners. The MLB pick for this game is the Seattle Mariners. The Astros aim to get back in the win column after a miserable series against the Giants. The Mariners look to extend their win streak to 5 games with a win on Friday with starting pitcher Luis Castillo certainly increasing their chances. Expect Castillo to shut the door on the Astros and lead the Mariners to their fifth consecutive win. Prediction, Mariners win 6-3.
MLB Starting Time: 10:10 PM ET
Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
TV: ESP+
MLB Odds: Seattle Mariners -142
MLB Totals: 7.5
