Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles 5/12/2023 Free Picks, Game Analysis and Tips
On Friday, May 12, 2023, at 7:05 PM ET, the Pittsburgh Pirates will play against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, MD. Despite their recent 1-9 record, the Pirates are currently in first place in the NL Central. However, during this ten-game stretch, they only managed to score an average of 1.5 runs per game while giving up 5.80 runs per game. Things have not gone well for Pittsburgh so far in May, unlike April when things went smoothly.
The Pirates’ offensive struggles are a major issue as their runs per game have dropped to 11th in the league. In their previous ten games, the team’s collective OPS is just .566. They have hit only .181 with five home runs in those contests. Even base stealing has decreased. Although Pittsburgh leads the league in times caught stealing (15) and total stolen bases (48), their success rate has been just 60% (9-15) over the last ten games, which is not very profitable in the long run. While most of Pittsburgh’s offensive statistics are favorable (such as having the fourth-highest walk rate), things are not going well for them at the moment.
- The Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road against Baltimore.
- The total remained UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games played on a Friday.
- The total stayed UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games played on a Friday when on the road.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles 5/12/2023 Free Picks, Game Analysis and Tips
The Baltimore Orioles faced a golden opportunity to play against the only team in their division with a higher winning percentage, the Rays. They made the most of it by winning two out of three games to clinch an important series. Baltimore’s pitching was excellent, as they held the leading offense in the MLB to just six runs across the three games. Their bullpen is considered among the best in baseball, with top-five rankings in ERA, FIP, and WAR. Yennier Cano has been the talk of the town, despite Felix Bautista having more saves this season due to his nearly impenetrable play. Cano’s 18.2 scoreless innings in 2023 with 22 strikeouts and 0 walks are attributed to his sinker, the second-best pitch in the league after Gerrit Cole’s fastball. Kyle Bradish will have the responsibility of giving the ball to the relievers with a lead, but this may be challenging as he lasted just 2.1 innings and gave up seven runs in his sole home start this season.
Baltimore’s offense is versatile and among the more adaptable in the majors, despite being a bit quiet in their most recent series. They have the third-highest walk rate in the MLB and rank sixth in runs scored per game. They come into this series with the third-most stolen bases and have hit 42 home runs, while also ranking tenth in doubles.
- The Baltimore Orioles are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home against Pittsburgh.
- The total stayed UNDER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 8 games with an opponent in the National League.
- The total remained UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games played in May.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles. The MLB pick for this game is the Baltimore Orioles. Despite having a successful season, Pittsburgh is currently struggling with both their run production and defense, while Baltimore is enjoying a stronger season. It will be challenging for the Pirates to come out on top if they fail to score runs against Baltimore’s starting pitcher not just in this game, but in the entire series. Although both teams have strong bullpens, the Orioles’ relievers have been performing better. As a result, the predicted score is a 6-3 victory for the Baltimore Orioles.
MLB Starting Time: 7:05 PM ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, MD
Date: Friday, May 12, 2023
TV: ESP+
MLB Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +144
MLB Totals: 8.5
