New York Mets vs Houston Astros 6/19/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews
On Monday, June 19, 2023, at 8:10 PM ET, Minute Maid Park, TX will host an MLB game between the New York Mets and the Houston Astros. The 33-37 New York Mets welcomed the St. Louis Cardinals to Citi Field in New York for the third and final game of a three-game series. Sunday’s games were excluded from the analysis. The struggling Mets were trying to win their first series since June 1 when they defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2 at home to take a three-game series. The Mets trounced the Cardinals 6-1 in the opening game on Friday, and then St. Louis rallied for a 5-3 victory on Saturday. Following their ninth loss in 13 games, the Mets fell 11.5 games behind the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves on Sunday. Despite producing a.237/.314/.434 triple-slash with 19 home runs in 389 at-bats over the preceding two weeks, the Mets had a dreadful 5.70 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and.280 opposition batting average.
On Monday, a 38-year-old right-hander named Max Scherzer will start. He pitched 56.2 innings over 11 starts this season, finishing 5-2 with a 4.45 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and a 60/14 K/BB ratio. He also made 11 starts. Despite not participating in the decision-making process, Scherzer struggled in his past two games. In his 5.2 innings of work against the Atlanta Braves on June 7, Scherzer allowed five earned runs on 11 hits. But on Tuesday, Scherzer played the New York Yankees, and in just 3.1 innings, he allowed six earned runs on seven hits.
The Mets have used 222 bullpen pitchers this season. 90 base runners were left on the field by bullpen pitchers this season, and 25.6% of them crossed the goal line. They have made 18 saves this season, but eight of their 26 chances to make a stop have been lost. The Mets bullpen entered the game with a 69.2% save rate in 72 opportunities. The relievers have a total of 45 holds for the season, which places them sixth in MLB. With their 67 appearances in high stakes situations, the Mets’ bullpen pitchers entered the game 64 times with runners on base.
- The total stayed UNDER in 5 of the New York Mets’ last 7 matches.
- The New York Mets are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games.
- The Mets are 0-7 SU in their last seven meetings with Houston.
New York Mets vs Houston Astros 6/19/2023 Game Analysis, Picks and Previews
The Cincinnati Reds faced the 39-32 Houston Astros in the third and final game of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. Houston had a difficult 2-1 loss in the opening game on Friday before losing brutally, 10-3, in the weekend’s championship game. The Astros have struggled lately, winning just three of their previous 11 games. Houston blasted 19 home runs in the past two weeks with 472 at-bats and a slash line of.239/.298/.409. The Astros’ pitching staff performed excellently during that period, recording a 3.60 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and a.247 opponents’ batting average. In the AL West, the Astros are third.
Hunter Brown, a 24-year-old right-hander, will start on Monday. In 13 starts (75.1 IP), he has a 6-3 record, a 3.35 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and an 83/26 K/BB ratio. Brown has a 1-1 record in his previous two games. After giving three earned runs on three hits and three walks over six innings in a 5-1 defeat to the Toronto Blue Jays on June 6, Brown tossed seven shutout innings in a 6-1 victory against the Washington Nationals on Tuesday.
The Houston pitching staff has allowed 264 runs this season while compiling a club ERA of 3.30 (233 earned runs allowed). They gave up 3.74 runs per nine innings and 72 long balls.
Putting them in second place in the MLB. This season, the Astros have a club WHIP of 1.244 and a staff FIP of 3.84. Their K/BB ratio is 9.30 (656 strikeouts to 217 free passes). Their pitching staff is 10th in MLB with 573 hits allowed overall.
- The Houston Astros are 1-4 SU in their last five outings.
- The Astros are 2-5 SU in their last seven matches at home.
- Houston is 8-0 SU in their last eight home matches against the NY Mets.
New York Mets vs. Houston Astros The MLB pick for this game is the New York Mets. I’m picking the Mets at plus money, believing that Max Scherzer will perform considerably better than he did in his last two starts against the Braves and Yankees. The current Astros are only 12-for-55 (one home run, three RBI) against Scherzer. The Mets’ first matchup will be against right-handed pitcher Hunter Brown, and over the previous ten days, they have a 107 wRC+ against him. The Astros had a 79 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers over that span. For the Mets to succeed, Scherzer must perform well. All season long, the Mets’ bullpen had issues, and during the previous ten days, their relievers had a dismal 4.60 ERA and 4.58 FIP. Conversely, during the previous 10 days, the Astros’ bullpen has a 3.45 ERA and 3.68 FIP. The New York Mets are expected to triumph by a score of 6-3.
MLB Starting Time: 8:10 PM ET
Location: Minute Maid Park, TX
Date: Monday, June 19, 2023
TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest
MLB Odds: New York Mets +109
MLB Totals: 7.5
