UFC Fight Night 224: Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez 7/22/23 Prediction, Tips, and Odds
Step inside our comprehensive review of UFC Fight Night 224’s flyweight fight between Jafel Filho and Daniel Barez on July 22, 2023, to gain the tools to make informed wagers. Our expertise lies in examining MMA betting splits and both fighters’ performances and stats to provide an informed analysis.
Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez
Date & Time: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Location: 02 Arena, London, Greater London, England
TV: ESPN+
Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez Betting Odds
Filho
Moneyline: -110
Barez
Moneyline: +105
Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez Analysis
Jafel “PASTOR” Filho enters the octagon with an impressive professional record of 14-3-0. His offensive game showcases solid striking skills, landing an average of 1.46 significant strikes per minute. However, Filho’s striking accuracy of 36% is a concern, and he must improve on this aspect to maximize his chances against Barez. Filho has a respectable 46% striking defense rate on the defensive end, but he absorbs 1.92 significant strikes per minute, indicating room for improvement in avoiding incoming strikes.
In the grappling department, Filho demonstrates versatility with an average of 1.15 takedowns per 15 minutes, but his takedown accuracy is at 28%. He possesses a solid submission game, averaging 1.7 submissions per 15 minutes. Filho’s recent fight resulted in a loss against Mokaev, potentially affecting his confidence heading into this matchup.
UFC Fight Night 224: Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez 7/22/23 Prediction, Tips, and Odds
Daniel Barez, a formidable contender in the flyweight division, boasts an impressive professional record of 16-5-0. Offensively, Barez showcases a striking prowess, landing an impressive 3.47 significant strikes per minute with a striking accuracy of 50%. His striking defense rate of 53% further enhances his chances in stand-up exchanges. However, Barez absorbs 5.13 significant strikes per minute, indicating a need for better defense to avoid unnecessary damage.
On the ground, Barez’s grappling skills are a highlight, averaging 5.00 takedowns per 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 31%. His takedown defense rate is an astonishing 100%, indicating a challenge for Filho to take him down. Additionally, Barez possesses a submission average of 2.0 per 15 minutes, making him a threat on the mat. In his latest bout, he faced a loss against Hernandez, which could impact his approach in this upcoming fight.
Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez Free Pick
Considering the betting splits and analyzing both fighters’ performances, our MMA best bet for this flyweight bout is Daniel Barez. While Jafel Filho is undoubtedly a formidable opponent with a diverse skill set, Barez’s striking accuracy and takedown defense give him a significant advantage. Filho’s struggles in striking defense could expose him to Barez’s relentless attacks, potentially swinging the fight in favor of the latter.
Furthermore, Barez’s impeccable takedown defense may neutralize Filho’s grappling attempts, forcing the fight to stay on the feet, where Barez excels. However, Filho’s submission skills could pose a threat if the fight goes to the ground, but Barez’s ground game is also formidable.
Free Pick: Daniel Barez +105
