New Orleans Saints (3-4) vs. Indianapolis Colts (3-4)
As the clock runs down to the pivotal Week 8 matchup, the New Orleans Saints and the Indianapolis Colts share an identical 3-4 standing, adding fuel to an already fiery rivalry. Both teams are keen on pivoting their seasons, and with the game poised to be a tight affair, fans and punters are on the lookout for top NFL free picks.
Derek Carr, quarterbacking for the Saints, has managed to chalk up 1600 passing yards over seven games, with Alvin Kamara making significant contributions in the rushing department, despite playing just four games. Chris Olave, the Saints’ standout receiver, has accumulated 471 yards, indicating a strong aerial threat.
Conversely, the Colts have been reliant on Gardner Minshew’s arm, boasting 1187 passing yards. The ground game seems solid with Zack Moss, who has consistently delivered, racking up 523 rushing yards in six games. Michael Pittman Jr. remains the primary receiving target with 489 yards, proving to be a constant threat to opposing defenses.
New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts Game Info
| When: | Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Lucas Oil Stadium |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Derek Carr QB vs. Gardner Minshew QB
Derek Carr of the New Orleans Saints brings years of experience to their team as signal-caller. This season he’s proven his abilities by throwing for 1,600 yards with an impressive completion percentage of 63.9%; yet there remains some inconsistency with six touchdown passes against four interceptions; additionally 18 times this season has seen Carr being sacked indicating possible vulnerabilities within their offensive line or his attempt at holding onto the ball too long making him vulnerable against opposing defenses.
Gardner Minshew of the Indianapolis Colts is another rising talent who has displayed flashes of brilliance during his play. Accumulating 1,187 passing yards with a slightly higher completion rate (65.2% than Carr) shows promising signs for their offensive future, including connecting with key receivers such as Michael Pittman Jr. His performance has been highlighted by five touchdowns to four interceptions (5 to 4, respectively), making decision making under pressure more efficient; yet with 12 sacks taken this season reflecting either issues within their offensive line or his decision-making ability under pressure (and, like Carr).
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Indianapolis Colts -125, Total Odds: 41.5
Given the close matchup and the identical records, the odds are relatively tight. The Colts are slight favorites with a -125 moneyline and a spread of -1.5. The total set at 41.5 suggests a potentially low-scoring affair, which aligns with both teams’ recent games leaning towards the UNDER. Punters should note that these odds indicate the bookmakers see this as a closely contested battle, making this matchup even more intriguing for those placing bets. While the Colts have the home advantage, the narrow spread underscores the unpredictability of this contest.
New Orleans Saints Betting Trends
Recent form shows the Saints struggling against the spread, going 1-4 ATS in their last five outings. The total going UNDER in 12 of their last 13 games is a testament to their defense’s effectiveness. Their head-to-head against the Colts is notable, though, with an 8-2 ATS and 9-2 SU record in their last 11 meetings.
Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends
The Colts have fared better ATS recently with a 4-2 record in their last six. However, their overall form remains a concern, particularly their 1-8 SU home record and the fact they’ve lost six straight against NFC teams. Interestingly, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games against the Saints.
New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts 10/29/23 Betting Picks
Considering the recent trends and performances of both teams, this game is shaping up to be a tight contest. While the Colts might have the home advantage, the Saints’ historical dominance in their head-to-head meetings can’t be overlooked.
If you’re looking at the over/under, leaning towards the UNDER might be a wise choice given both teams’ defensive strengths and recent trends. For those seeking premium picks today, the Saints with a +1.5 spread seem to offer good value, given their head-to-head record against the Colts.
Free Pick and Prediction: New Orleans Saints 21, Indianapolis Colts 20
