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NFL Week 11 Betting Prediction: Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions 11/19/2023

Chicago Bears (3-7) vs. Detroit Lions (7-2)

On November 19, 2023, in an exciting NFL Week 11 contest, the Chicago Bears take on the Detroit Lions who boast strikingly different records: Bears are 3-7 while Lions boast 7-2. Taking place at Ford Field and broadcast by FOX, this matchup makes for an exhilarating matchup and should be watched closely by fans as well as anyone searching for daily NFL betting picks.

Chicago’s offensive strategy this season has focused largely on their ground game. Running back D’Onta Foreman has amassed 367 rushing yards at an average rate of 4.3 yards per attempt while scoring three times. He has been an asset during an otherwise disappointing campaign for the Bears. Unfortunately, their run game has become predictable, making it easy for opposing defenses to adjust. Wide receiver DJ Moore has become an indispensable target. Moore has amassed 793 receiving yards on 52 receptions for an average catch distance of 15.3 yards per reception and five touchdowns through his 10 games for the Bears, particularly given their struggles in passing game. Moore’s ability to create plays after the catch has been invaluable for their offense given their difficulties passing the ball.

On the other side, Detroit Lions have displayed a more balanced offensive attack. David Montgomery has led an efficient running game in six games; his 501 yards at an average 4.7 yard per carry have netted 7 touchdowns – keeping defenses honest while opening up passing game opportunities. Amon-Ra St Brown stands out amongst their receivers; their 821 receiving yards average 102.6 per game make them formidable threats to any defense.

 

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Game Info

When: Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Ford Field
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Justin Fields QB vs. Jared Goff QB

Justin Fields has shown incredible potential as the Bears quarterback. Boasting an impressive completion percentage of 61.7% and 11 passing touchdowns, Fields provides dual threat capability by being able to scramble or make plays outside the pocket. Unfortunately, his 6 interceptions and 24 sacks indicate areas for improvement.

Jared Goff of the Lions has been more consistent and effective this season, boasting a 68.4% completion rate, 14 touchdowns, and only five interceptions; his high passer rating of 991 compares favorably to Fields’ 91.6 rating highlighting his efficacy this year.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Detroit Lions -360, Total Odds: 45.5

The current betting odds favor the Lions significantly, with a spread of -8.5 and a moneyline of -360. The over/under is set at 45.5, reflecting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.

 

Chicago Bears Betting Trends

The Bears have struggled against the spread (ATS), going 4-13-1 in their last 18 games, indicating a consistent underperformance relative to expectations. They have also been poor on the road, with a 1-8 record in their last 9 away games. This trend could be crucial in predicting their performance at Ford Field.

 

Detroit Lions Betting Trends

The Lions, in contrast, have been excellent against the spread, going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Their overall 6-1 SU record in the last 7 games indicates a team in form and confident in their gameplay, particularly at home.

 

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions 11/19/23 Betting Picks

Considering the performance and trends of both teams, the Lions are poised to continue their winning ways. Their balanced offense and home-field advantage should play a significant role. The Bears, while capable of upsets, face an uphill battle, especially with their inconsistent play.

In terms of betting, the Lions seem like the safer pick, particularly with the spread. For prop bets, looking at individual performances like Goff’s passing yards or Montgomery’s rushing yards could be intriguing. The over/under is a tighter call, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities, leaning towards the over might be worthwhile. Those looking for top betting sites will find several options offering comprehensive betting lines and odds for this game.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Detroit Lions 31, Chicago Bears 20

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