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NFL Week 11 Betting Prediction: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins 11/19/2023

Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) vs. Miami Dolphins (6-3)

Week 11 of the NFL promises an exhilarating clash when Las Vegas Raiders with an even 5-5 record take on Miami Dolphins with an impressive 6-3 standing this year. Set for Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, this contest is already drawing significant interest among football betting pick enthusiasts given each team’s contrasting fortunes and playing styles. 

The Raiders’ offensive strategy has been variable this season. Josh Jacobs has been an invaluable member of their rushing attack with 186 attempts leading to 622 yards despite only an average of 3.3 per rush; his endurance and knack for finding gaps has proven essential to the Raiders success. Jacobs’ five rushing touchdowns highlight his role as an effective finisher in the red zone; however, more explosive plays would benefit his team immensely. Within the receiving corps, Davante Adams stands out with 57 receptions on 98 targets for an accumulation of 659 yards. Adams is known for his route-running prowess and reliable hands, averaging 11.6 yards per reception on average. Although his touchdown count remains modest at 3, his ability to stretch defenses and create opportunities should not be discounted.

Raheem Mostert, their leading rusher, has been nothing short of spectacular this year with 605 yards from 109 attempts averaging an incredible 5.6 average yards per attempt and showing both explosiveness and agility. Tyreek Hill has proven his scoring prowess and ability to convert plays into points this year with 11 touchdowns this season alone – becoming Tua Tagovailoa’s go-to receiver by collecting 69 receptions totalling 1076 yards alone; 408 yards after catch evidences his success this year alone.

 

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins Game Info

When: Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: CBS
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Jimmy Garoppolo QB vs. Tua Tagovailoa QB

Jimmy Garoppolo has had an inconsistent performance so far this season. Though his completion percentage remains impressive at 65.5% and average 200.8 yards per game, Garoppolo’s susceptibility to turnovers (nine interceptions versus seven touchdowns) should be of concern; therefore, effective game management skills must be utilized when facing Miami Dolphins defensive efforts.

Tua Tagovailoa has emerged as a standout quarterback for the Miami Dolphins this season. His impressive passer rating and significant yardage per passing attempt indicate his proficiency at expanding offensive play while executing significant plays. Tagovailoa’s stellar performance this year has been instrumental in driving Miami Dolphins success.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Miami Dolphins Moneyline -500, Total Odds: 48

The betting odds lean heavily towards the Dolphins, evidenced by their -500 moneyline, reflecting their strong performance and the Raiders’ struggles, particularly on the road. The total set at 48 points suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring game, which aligns with both teams’ offensive capabilities.

 

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends

The Raiders’ betting trends show a mixed performance. While they are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games, their overall record against Miami, particularly ATS (1-6-1 in their last 8 games against the Dolphins), is worrying. Their road performance (1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road) is another concern for bettors leaning towards Las Vegas.

 

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Miami’s betting trends paint a picture of a team that’s been strong against the spread, especially at home (5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games) and against AFC opponents (8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC teams). These trends, combined with their overall performance this season, make them a formidable opponent for the Raiders.

 

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins 11/19/23 Betting Picks

It’s hard to overlook the Dolphins’ offensive prowess and strong home record as factors in this matchup. Their ability to cover spreads against AFC opponents gives them an edge here while the Raiders, although not to be underestimated entirely, have shown inconsistency on the road games this year.

As for the over/under, 48 points is an intriguing total to aim for in this game. Both teams boast capable offenses but Miami’s defense at home could play an instrumental role in keeping score under. With so much offensive firepower on display by Miami and especially its Dolphins offense, betting over may appeal to those hoping for a high-scoring battle.

For top live betting opportunities, keep an eye on the game’s flow, especially in the early quarters. The Dolphins have shown the ability to score quickly, which could shift the dynamics of the game and offer valuable live betting opportunities.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Miami Dolphins 31, Las Vegas Raiders 21

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