UFC ON ESPN 52 Betting Prediction Jalin Turner vs. Bobby Green 12/2/23 – The pivotal UFC Lightweight clash between dynamic strikers Jalin Turner and Bobby Green takes center stage this Saturday, December 2, 2023. This main event scrap carries ranking implications within the talent-rich 155-pound division that UFC fans and experts are dissecting for their UFC free picks. An in-depth breakdown of both competitors follows, leading to our prediction for this must-see MMA bout that highlights the weekend.
Jalin Turner vs. Bobby Green Game Info
When: | Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET |
Where: | Moody Center, Austin, Texas, USA |
TV: | ESPN+ |
Jalin Turner Analysis
Jalin Turner brings a dangerous 13-7 record built on explosive knockout power, unleashing 5.82 significant strikes per minute at a high clip. His lethal southpaw shot selection and angles have overwhelmed quality competition, recently finishing Brad Riddell in round one. However, grappling holes exist with just 55% takedown defense. Turner must avoid being grounded by the well-rounded Green.
Towering at 6’3″ with a massive 77″ reach, Turner utilizes his length superbly, mixing brutal kicks, knees and punches from distance. Once rocked, opponents crumble under his ruthless swarm of strikes. Turner has stopped respected strikers like Marc Diakiese and Riddell in under one frame apiece. His finishing instincts and versatility make him a problem for all lightweights.
But Turner has struggled against pressure and wrestling previously. Losses to grappling-heavy foes like Matt Frevola and Don Madge revealed inadequate urgency after being taken down. His cardio also falls off steeply as fights progress, fading hard against Drew Dober in their third round. To take out Green, Turner must prevent takedowns while maintaining his output.
Bobby Green Analysis
Veteran Bobby “King” Green boasts elite well-roundedness crafted over 16 years and 33-15-1 record. He blends 6.15 significant strikes landed per minute with strong wrestling, securing 1.21 takedowns per bout. Stifling 74% takedown defense allows Green to keep fights standing if desired, as displayed in his recent Al Iaquinta win, where he freely mixed his punches, kicks and takedowns.
Green uses footwork and movement to work angles at an impressive 62% striking defense clip built on years of dedicated study under top coaches. His active head movement, feints and stance-switching allow him to avoid damage while setting up accurate counters. Green has turned this technical style into an art form over dozens of high-level fights.
While lacking one-shot power, Green carries underrated pop with plenty of TKO finishes against respectable competition. His thudding low kicks, pinpoint straight punches and diverse combination work cannot be ignored for full fights. Years spent grinding out five-round battles have also conditioned Green as an exceptionally durable athlete able to recover quickly when hurt.
Green’s combination of creative striking, opportunistic wrestling and imposing cardio could slowly break Turner’s will en route to a clear decision after 25 grueling minutes. His refined blend of technique, craftiness and grit make Green an exceedingly difficult puzzle to solve. Turner must stay extremely sharp and motivated to avoid being slowly outpointed by the supremely seasoned “King” Green.
Jalin Turner vs. Bobby Green Stats
Turner | Green | |
Wins/Losses/Draws | 13-7-0 | 31-14-1 (1 NC) |
Average Fight Time | 7:31 | 11:33 |
Height | 6′ 3″ | 5′ 10″ |
Weight | 155 lbs. | 155 lbs. |
Reach | 77″ | 71″ |
Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
Strikes Landed per Min. | 5.82 | 6.15 |
Striking Accuracy | 48% | 52% |
Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 4.61 | 3.66 |
Defense | 41% | 62% |
Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.91 | 1.21 |
Takedown Accuracy | 55% | 74% |
Takedown Defense | 75% | 74% |
Submission Average/15 min. | 1.3 | 0.3 |
Jalin Turner vs. Bobby Green Betting Pick
Both prefer standing, but while Turner possesses more power, Green’s diversity and responsibility could frustrate him over three rounds for a decision. Green’s conditioned pace, counter wrestling and technical prowess form the optimal path to best Turner here. However, Turner always holds fight-changing power. The prediction remains Bobby Green via hard-fought decision.
Free Pick: Bobby Green +170
In summary, our analysis favors Bobby Green using his veteran savvy to outwork the dangerous Turner on Saturday night according to top betting sites. Green’s refined skills and adaptability position him well to overcome Turner’s power and size, making for a competitive and entertaining UFC main event that top betting sites are closely monitoring. Both fighters bring intriguing strengths to what shapes up as a stellar UFC headliner based on the odds and analysis from top betting sites.