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UFC on ABC 6 Betting Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez 6/22/2024

UFC on ABC 6 Betting Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez 6/22/2024

In the world of UFC, every match is a chance to see the extraordinary capabilities of elite fighters, and the upcoming bout between Kelvin Gastelum and Daniel Rodriguez is no exception. Set to take place on Saturday, June 22, 2024, at the majestic Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, this welterweight confrontation promises to deliver intense action and strategic gameplay. Gastelum enters the ring with a record of 18 wins, 9 losses, and 1 no contest, while Rodriguez boasts a record of 17 wins against 4 losses. Fans seeking free UFC predictions need look no further as we dive into this anticipated matchup, analyzing the strengths, weaknesses, and betting odds involved.

 

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez Game Info

When: Saturday, June 22, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
Where: Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
TV: ESPN+

 

Kelvin Gastelum Analysis

Kelvin Gastelum has taken part in 27 MMA bouts, of which he is 18-9-0 (1 NC). 13.33 minutes are the average duration of his fights proving Gastelum’s endurance and willingness to stand up to competitors for a longer time. He is tall and slim, measures 5’9” in height and weighs about 170 lbs. Meanwhile, Gastelum fights from the southpaw stance and his reach is 71 inches. These statistics show that his striking game is quite furious where he lands 3. 55 significant strikes per minute with a 41% rate of strike accuracy but in defense, he gains 58% defense against the strikes. Statistics by grappling show that he has 0.96 takedowns per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 30%. While he recently lost to Brady, Gastelum is a very experienced fighter and has excellent stand up and grappling skills.

 

Daniel Rodriguez Analysis

Daniel Rodriguez, better recognized by the ring name of ‘D-ROD’, however, has got an inch advantage with height measuring 6’1”, and the same weight of 170 pounds. The reach advantage of Federer was another factor- His reach was 74 inches and might have given him a slightly better reach than Nadal when it came to striking. The grappler Rodriguez demonstrates a high significant strike frequency of 7.30 and 50% of hits found the target but receives more impacts at 5. 28 per minute, indicating the more active, although potentially hazardous, behavior. His overall takedown defense is set at 63%, a shade higher than Gastelum, but the submission rate average is similar. While Rodriguez was defeated by Machado Garry, technical striking and reach differential should make Rodriguez a highly dangerous foe in this fight.

 

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez Stats

Gastelum Rodriguez
Wins/Losses/Draws 18-9-0 (1 NC) 17-4-0
Average Fight Time 13:33 11:02
Height 5′ 9″ 6′ 1″
Weight 170 lbs. 170 lbs.
Reach 71″ 74″
Stance Southpaw Southpaw
Strikes Landed per Min. 3.55 7.30
Striking Accuracy 41% 50%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 3.23 5.28
Defense 58% 56%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 0.96 0.62
Takedown Accuracy 30% 50%
Takedown Defense 59% 63%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.1 0.1

 

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez Betting Picks

Analyzing the fight dynamics and statistics, one is likely to claim that the match is a great opportunity for the official underdog: currently, Gastelum is the favorite of the fight with the odds of -200, while Rodriguez is an outsider with the odds of +162. Due to his experience and slightly superior defensive presentations, Gastelum may have the tactical advantage in dealing with Rodriguez’s high volume striking. Nevertheless, it is found that Rodriguez who has relatively more height and reach than Leon also has better striking accuracy, indicating that he can dominate the fight if he ensures that he does not come close range with Leon.

Then, when rating both fighters, Gastelum has much greater potential as he is quite versatile with quite good takedown defense and the ability to avoid pressure and, compared to him, Rodriguez has a significant flaw in the form of low durability in spite of quite good wrestling. While betting trends and past performances constructively contribute to the probabilities in Gastelum’s victory, his variable of performing different game plans in the fight also confirms.

 

Free Pick: Kelvin Gastelum -200

 

As this welterweight clash draws near, betting lovers and UFC fans should check out the best live betting sites where to bet on this great fight. This battle at UFC on ABC 6 will be one of the most anticipated and competitive fights in the UFC as both fighters are coming off of a loss and will both be looking forward to getting a victory in the octagon. Dos combatentes de uma das categorias mais populares do MMA se enfrentam neste duelo entre Kelvin Gastelum e Daniel Rodriguez.

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