New York Yankees (56-38) vs. Baltimore Orioles (57-35)
As the MLB season pushes past the halfway mark, the stakes rise along with the temperatures of July. The New York Yankees, holding a solid 56-38 record, are set to face the slightly better-positioned Baltimore Orioles, who boast a 57-35 standing, on a Friday night showdown at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. This match not only represents a critical point in the AL East race but also highlights a key betting opportunity for those engaged in top online betting platforms.
Yankees, who have a rather successful season on balance, demonstrate signs of weakness. Their production on the plate has been rather average as they have managed a batting average of .247 with a SLG of .424. This places them right at the middle regarding the pitching performance, they boasted of a 3.58 ERA and 1.21 WHIP to heighten pitching roster anticipation that could prove to be a headache to Baltimore. But even more telling is their 2-3 record in the last five games, or the same performance ATS.
The Orioles only have a slight advantage of the Yankees by having a higher batting average of .255 while the slugging percentage of .457 is an advantage owing to a total of 147 home runs. Their pitching, with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.18, is also relatively sound so that the games never turn into a rout. But just like in the Yankees’ case, the Orioles have had their fair share of undesirable form, including the current record of 2-3 and problems with the money line in the last five games.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Game Info
| When: | Friday, July 12, 2024 at 7:05 PM ET |
| Where: | Oriole Park at Camden Yards |
| TV: | ESP+ |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Gerrit Cole (1-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Cade Povich (1-3, 6.51 ERA)
Gerrit Cole has been bad for the season where his ERA is 6.75 and WHIP is 1.62 in 17.1 innings pitched. His problems with yielding hits and home runs may well be the game-deciding factor if the O’s go up against a lineup that has a penchant for teeing off on the ball. Thus, Cole has to rely on experience and effectiveness of strikeouts to jam Baltimore’s hitters.
Cade Povich is not much better with the 6.51 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, although he has the potential to develop. While giving more hits and runs than the desired had been allowed, the depth of a game might be managed better than Cole, giving the Orioles the slight edge provided that he does not lose it to the Yankees’ big bats.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: New York Yankees -137, Total Odds: 9
The betting odds lean slightly towards the Yankees as favorites, which could be attributed to their overall season performance and historical reputation. However, the close nature of this matchup, combined with recent form, suggests that the Orioles at +116 might offer value, especially with the Orioles showing resilience at home.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees’ betting trends indicate a mixed bag, with a recent downturn in performance against the spread and a near even record in road games. Their inability to cover the spread in recent games, coupled with an inconsistent offense, might worry some bettors. The team’s performance on the road (26-24 ATS) suggests they might find it tough at Camden Yards.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles show a similar pattern to the Yankees, with struggles in recent games but a better record at covering the spread in road games. This game being at home, where they have shown decent results, might tilt the scales in their favor, especially if their power-hitting connects. Their road games ATS (25-19) might not play a factor in this home game, where they need to assert dominance.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 7/12/24 Betting Picks
Given the current form and historical performance, this game promises to be closely contested. However, the Orioles, with their slight edge in power hitting and a better home record, might just edge out. Bettors should consider the Orioles for a potential upset, especially with the Yankees’ recent shaky performances.
The over on the total points also appears attractive, given both teams’ capability to hit and the starting pitchers’ recent vulnerabilities. Look for a high-scoring affair, potentially going above the set total of 9 runs. For those looking into MLB betting picks, consider the Orioles on the moneyline and the total going over as smart choices.
