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MLB Betting Prediction: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/21/2024

San Diego Padres (50-49) vs. Cleveland Guardians (58-37)

As the MLB season heats up, the San Diego Padres travel to Progressive Field to face off against the Cleveland Guardians this Sunday, July 21, 2024. The Padres, just shy of a .500 record, will be looking to improve their standing, whereas the Guardians boast a solid record of 58-37, making this matchup a critical juncture for both teams. For sports betting enthusiasts and followers of top online betting sites, this game presents a thrilling opportunity to analyze trends, player performance, and potential outcomes.

The Padres can boast a fair share of achievements and, at the same time, present the issues that hinder them from performing stably both in the division and in interdivisional games. Using a batting average of .261 and having the acclaimed batters who have assumed a cumulative total of 109 home runs, their offenses can be devastating. However, their pitching lineup signifies the fact that they have a high ERA, that is, 4.16, while on the mound. Which is why the Padres can’t be trifled with, even if they’re coming off a terrible 1-4 stretch, they carry an impressive 28-16 record against the spread on the road. 

On the other hand the Cleveland Guardians have been better and more assertive in the whole tournament season as compared to the Chicago White Sox. Compared to padres that have a batting average of .243, the guardians equally perform well in pitching with a team era of 3.71. Their pitchers have managed to contain the adversaries and allow little to no runs which is an essential in tight matches. While both teams are rather alike in their recent performance, having a 1-4 record of the last 5 games, the general season performance and the lineup of pitchers indicate the higher consistency of the team and better likelihood to recover in following games.

 

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians Game Info

When: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
TV: ESP+
Stream: MLB.TV

 

Michael King (7-6, 3.41 ERA) vs. Ben Lively (8-5, 3.58 ERA)

The Padres starting pitcher Michael King has been doing quite phenomenal this season with an ERA of 3.41 and WHIP of 1.23 for 111 innings pitched. Although it may not be very high, King demonstrates good performance by knocking out the opponents with 129 Ks. Still, he gave home runs 14 times, and such a tendency can be a problem against a team like the Guardians, which thrives on such moments.

On the other side, Ben Lively of the Guardians his ERA is slightly higher at 3.58 but has a better WHIP of 1.17 meaning he can limit runners getting on base. Lively pitched 78 strike-outs and 25 walk-offs in 88 innings and has fewer strikeouts than a King but has a good command also of avoiding issuing too many bases-on-balls.

 

MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

As betting odds and spreads for this game are yet to be determined, bettors should keep a close eye on updates as the game day approaches. The odds will significantly reflect the recent performances and any last-minute roster changes due to injuries or tactical shifts.

 

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres’ recent betting trends show a troubling pattern in consistency, particularly against the spread, where they’ve mirrored their general game performance with a 1-4 record in recent matchups. However, their strength in road games could be a deciding factor for bettors looking for an underdog pick.

 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends

The Guardians have struggled similarly in their recent outings, both straight up and against the spread. However, their slightly better home record against the spread and their ability to bounce back after losses may tilt the odds in their favor in upcoming games.

 

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians 7/21/24 Betting Picks

Given the current trends and statistics, this game poses a tight contest. The Guardians, with their superior pitching and decent home record, might have a slight edge, particularly if Lively performs to his season’s standard. The Padres will need King to mitigate the home run risk and their hitters to exploit any lapses by Guardians’ pitchers.

For bettors, considering the Padres’ road ATS strength could make them a tempting pick, especially if the odds favor them heavily as underdogs. However, the safer bet might lean towards the Guardians, given their overall season stability. Don’t forget to check out free MLB picks as the game day approaches for updated analysis and tips.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Cleveland Guardians 4, San Diego Padres 3

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