UFC 304 Betting Predictions: Oban Elliott vs. Preston Parsons 7/27/2024
As UFC 304 approaches, bettors and fans alike are gearing up for an exhilarating welterweight showdown between Oban “The Welsh Gangster” Elliott and Preston “Pressure” Parsons. This contest, set to take place at the Co-op Live in Manchester, England, promises to be a closely matched battle, reflecting their current betting odds and records. Both fighters are aiming to climb higher in the welterweight rankings, making this bout crucial for their careers. For those using the best bookie software, this fight offers a nuanced opportunity to analyze fighters’ strengths and weaknesses to make informed betting decisions.
Oban Elliott vs. Preston Parsons Game Info
| When: | Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Co-op Live, Manchester, England, UK |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Oban Elliott Analysis
Oban Elliott, known as “The Welsh Gangster,” brings a record of 10-2-0 to the octagon. Thus, the 6’1 ”, 170 lbs fighter, with the orthodox style, who has a reach of 72 inches, is able to control the distance against the opponents. They average out the fight time about the same as a three round fight, and Elliott’s draw out record proves his stamina most of the time going the distance. His striking game is solid and he averages 4.27 significant strikes per minute with 53 % accuracy and that is way above average for a welterweight fighter. While his Throwing stats are a measure of 3.50 takedowns in 15 minutes with a 50% accuracy showing that he is a takedown artist, his takedowns defense is pitiful at 0% which could be a major disadvantage when facing a grappler like Parsons. In his latest victory over Woodburn he was able to demonstrate better striking and management of the octagon floor.
Preston Parsons Analysis
Preston Parsons, nicknamed “Pressure,” aptly describes his fighting style, focusing on grappling and submission tactics. Parsons comes into the bout with a fighting record of 11-4-0. His reach is nearly the same as Elliott’s but he is slightly shorter than him standing at 5’11” and uses the orthodox stance. Parsons’ striking reach is 71 inches, however, he packs a takedown average of 4.30, and average takedown frequency per 15 minutes of 43% accuracy rate. Notably, his takedown defense is great standing at 80%, and his strength in the ground game is excellently demonstrated through the average number of submission attempts made which is 3.1 per 15 minutes. His powerful punching however dips at 51% and for every minute he is taking more hits 3.18 than he is dishing them out 3.83 which can be his weak spot against a fighter like Elliott who is a solid striker. In the most recent win against Semelsberger, Parsons exhibited similar relentless pressure and grappling while demonstrating control over the tempo and posturing for most of the fight.
Oban Elliott vs. Preston Parsons Stats
| Elliott | Parsons | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 10-2-0 | 11-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 12:12 |
| Height | 6′ 0″ | 5′ 11″ |
| Weight | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach | 72″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.27 | 3.83 |
| Striking Accuracy | 53% | 55% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 2.17 | 3.18 |
| Defense | 61% | 51% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50% | 43% |
| Takedown Defense | 0% | 80% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.0 | 3.1 |
Oban Elliott vs. Preston Parsons Betting Picks
Analyzing both fighters, this matchup is a classic striker versus grappler scenario. Elliott’s superior striking and significant reach advantage make him a formidable opponent on the feet, while Parsons’ grappling prowess and submission frequency pose a serious threat if he can close the distance and bring the fight to the mat. The key to this bout will be Elliott’s ability to maintain distance and use his striking effectively against Parsons’ attempts to bring the fight into grappling range.
Given the statistics and the fighters’ respective strengths and weaknesses, Elliott might have a slight edge due to his ability to handle fighters at range and his significant strike output. However, if Parsons can manage to execute his game plan and turn the fight into a grappling match, he could very well swing the odds in his favor.
Free Pick: Oban Elliott -105
With both fighters showcasing distinct skills and the odds nearly even, UFC 304’s Elliott vs. Parsons fight is not only a test of striking versus grappling but also a reflection of strategic acumen and adaptability inside the octagon. For those seeking free UFC 304 winning picks, betting on Elliott might provide a slight edge due to his striking ability and fight management. However, this fight promises to be a close and compelling contest, rewarding those who understand the dynamics of mixed martial arts betting.
