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NFL Week 1 Betting Prediction: New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals 9/8/2024

New England Patriots (1-2 Preseason) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (0-3 Preseason)

The NFL season has commenced and teams have started playing their first game of the week against one another whereby the New England Patriots welcome the Cincinnati Bengals in what promises to be an exciting fixture. Both teams were very poor during the preseason, with the Patriots recording only one win while the Bengals were winless. This particular tussle which is scheduled for Sunday appears to be a contest where both teams will be looking to change the state of affairs in their favor. The NFL expert free picks for this game are eagerly awaited by fans and bettors as both teams will be looking to get their season off on the right foot.

The New England offense has ignited in some areas, namely on the ground and receiving. Terrell Jennings has only touched the field once but has gained 74 rushing yards on 12 carries, which is an impressive 6.2 yards per carry. Kayshon Boutte, on the other hand, has benched 6 Receptions for 76 yards. However, even though Boutte has been looking for his first touchdown up to this point, his stats of 12.7 yards per catch shows that he knows how to use his legs and his ability to run routes and get open.

On the other hand, the Bengals have shown more stability in their passing game, aided largely by the receiver Jermaine Burton. Among these, Burton’s 157 yards on 8 catches, including 2 touchdowns, stand out, for the player is key in the Bengals’ offense. Trayveon Williams has also been effective in running the ball for 95 yards from a total of 20 carries, which is relatively minimal but safe as far as the ground attack is concerned. These performances echo that Cincinnati can take advantage of mismatches against the Patriots’ defense.

 

New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals Game Info

When: Sunday, September 8, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Paycor Stadium
TV: CBS
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Drake Maye QB vs. Logan Woodside QB

Drake Maye, the Patriots’ quarterback, has had an underwhelming preseason with only 192 passing yards and a single touchdown with no turnovers, earning a passer rating of 86.9. Maye’s cautious approach and accurate passing may help manage the pace of the game and minimize mistakes.

On the other hand, Logan Woodside of the Bengals has recorded 379 yards and two touchdowns while getting intercepted twice. Pad Perrione, with a slightly better passer rating of 85.3 and a completion percentage that Maye can only envy (70.7%), might be able to add an advantage to the Bengals’ offense regarding the passing game, with his ability to execute short and long passes.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati Bengals -393, Total Odds: 42.5

The Bengals enter this game as significant favorites with a spread of -7.5 and a moneyline of -393, reflecting confidence in their ability to secure a win at home. The total over/under set at 42.5 suggests expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair, a scenario supported by both teams’ recent trends of hitting the over in most games.

 

New England Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have struggled against the spread, going 5-14-1 in their last 20 games, indicating issues with meeting expectations. However, they have a favorable head-to-head record against the Bengals, going 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings, which could influence betting patterns.

 

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Trends

The Bengals have been formidable at home, with a 13-3 SU record in their last 16 games at Paycor Stadium. Their recent overall performance of going 6-3 ATS in their last 9 home games against New England further solidifies their stance as the favorites in this matchup.

 

New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals 9/8/24 Betting Picks

Considering the current form and historical performances, Cincinnati appears well-positioned to cover the spread. New England’s preseason woes and inconsistent performances last season do not inspire confidence. Bettors looking for value might consider the over on total points, given both teams’ tendencies to surpass scoring projections.

As for the game’s outcome, Cincinnati’s stronger preseason showing and the home-field advantage make them the better pick. Prop bets on players like Jermaine Burton for anytime touchdown scorer could offer additional betting opportunities. For those interested in live action, the best live betting scenarios might involve adjusting stakes based on halftime scores and momentum shifts.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals 27, New England Patriots 17

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