Duke Blue Devils (3-0) vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-2)
The unblemished Duke Blue Devils are preparing to fight the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in an absorbing NCAAF Week 4 clash. There is a promise that Duke will have a good run of form and that Middle Tennessee will try to get back to winning ways. As Both sides get ready to take the field and show their strength, this match is vital for both the fans and the bettors, so NCAAF expert free picks will be primarily concerned with making this a worthwhile exercise.
The Duke Blue Devils have begun the season with a bang and have largely featured their running back, Star Thomas, and wide receiver, Eli Pancol. So far, Thomas, who has 52 rushing attempts for 203 yards, may be the only one unable to cross the goal line. But his ability to gain yards on the ground every game allows Duke to put together longer drives. But Pancol has stepped up, catching 13 passes for 161 yards and four TDs. His effectiveness in transforming short receptions into substantial yardage has been paramount to the success enjoyed by the Duke offense.
Middle Tennessee has had a 1-2 period to start with. Still, in its first two outings, it has had favorable contributions from running back Jaiden Credle and wide receiver Omari Kelly. Although the young man has not engendered much leaping over the line due to his size, there remains an unnoticed ability to get a handful of important chains. The standout weapon on offense for the Blue Raiders is Kelly, who has 285 yards and three touchdowns in 14 receptions. He helps Kyler achieve an average of 20.4 yards per reception, which denotes the degree to which the receiver is a threat, where any defense lapse can result in substantial yards.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium |
| TV: | ESPU |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Maalik Murphy QB vs. Nicholas Vattiato QB
Throwing for a total of 801 yards with the ball being completed 63.9% of the time, Maalik Murphy quarterback at Duke, has also passed in eight touchdowns. Even under pressure with three interceptions and three sacks, Murphy’s passer rating is still reasonably high at 135.8. Murphy can also throw the ball deep accurately evidenced by his best throw which was a completed 55 yards. His decision making when pressured will be critical to beating Middle Tennessee’s defense.
However, Nicholas Vattiato of Middle Tennessee has a slightly higher completion record with 65.7% accuracy, having passed 875 yards. His 8.8 pass yards per attempt is better than Murphy’s figure though his best throw is longer than Murphy’s 71 yards. Vattiato: Although his record isn’t as favorable, with a passer rating of 147.2, he managed to demonstrate effective quite resilience, which are the qualities needed if Duke underestimates the airpower of the Blue Raider’s offense.
NCAAF Odds/Point Spread: Duke Blue Devils -15 (-110), Total Odds: 54
Duke Blue Devils face Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in NCAAF Week 4, with Duke favored by -15 and a moneyline of -490. Middle Tennessee, at +15 and +365, will need a strong performance to cover the spread. Duke’s offense, led by Maalik Murphy and Eli Pancol, looks dominant, while Middle Tennessee’s home field could be an advantage. The total is set at 54 points, with both teams showing trends for high-scoring games, making the OVER an attractive bet.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends
Duke’s betting trends are compelling; they are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games and have a strong tendency to cover the spread with a 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against Conference USA teams. These trends, combined with their scoring consistency as shown by the total going OVER in 8 of their last 9 road games, makes them a strong bet for those looking at the numbers.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Trends
Middle Tennessee’s recent form shows a struggle to cover the spread with 0-5 ATS in their last five outings. Their home record, however, tells a different story with 4-1 SU in their last 5 at home, suggesting they could potentially surprise against a favored Duke if their key players perform to potential.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 9/21/24 Betting Picks
Considering the statistical analysis and current form, Duke appears poised to extend their winning streak, yet the challenge at Middle Tennessee’s home ground should not be underestimated. The Blue Raiders’ robust home record and their capability to score through explosive plays present a potential for a tighter game than the odds might suggest. For prop bets, look towards individual performances like Eli Pancol to score at any time, considering his form.
For those betting on the total, the trend of both teams favoring high-scoring outcomes could make the OVER a tempting pick. Finally, as the best online casino for your sports betting needs, always consider the evolving odds and player fitness closer to the game day for the most informed betting strategy.
