Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-1)
The unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs head to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to face the Atlanta Falcons in a Week 3 clash that promises fireworks. The Chiefs, coming off a tight victory, look to extend their perfect start to the season, while the Falcons aim to find consistency after splitting their first two games. Fans tuning in on Sunday, September 22, at 8:20 PM ET on NBC should expect a high-octane matchup, making it a top pick for daily NFL free picks enthusiasts.
There are two sides to the Chiefs’ offense, the air attack of Patrick Mahomes and the ground-and-pound attack of Carson Steele. There are no two wins more satisfying than a well-played match. While boasting a passer rating of almost 92, Mahomes threw for 442 yards and 3 TDs. Except, of course, for those three picks, which offer slight cause for concern. Thus far, Steele has been unable to come through on the ground totalling only 27 rushing yards in two games, implying that the Chiefs may be obligate to rely on their air offensive thrust attacking the Falcons defensive unit.
On the contrary, Atlanta has found a jewel in running back Bijan Robinson, with the rookie successfully rushing for 165 yards from 32 attempts, making it 5.2 yards per carry. Such ground efficiency may be required due to the chinks in the armor of the Chiefs’ run defense. When he had the chance to throw the ball, Kirk Cousins has been doing decently but not great, having completed 65.5% of his passes with three touchdowns and two picks. With an incredible 25.8 yards per reception average, wide receiver Darnell Mooney should be instrumental in helping to stretch the Chiefs’ secondary.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Game Info
| When: | Sunday, September 22, 2024, at 8:20 PM ET |
| Where: | Mercedes-Benz Stadium |
| TV: | FOX |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Patrick Mahomes QB vs. Kirk Cousins QB
Patrick Mahomes is prone to making high-stakes throws but is still an instrumental player in the plans of the Kansas City Chiefs. For the aggressiveness, he has thus far recorded 442 passing yards and three passing touchdowns this season. His three interceptions, though imply that he is liable to some degree. The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback conveys a sense of pressure tolerance while playing, which is one of his critical attributes.
Conversely, Kirk Cousins of the Atlanta Falcons appears to play a more conservative protecting the ball philosophy. Having a completion percentage of 65.5% with some decent yardage, Cousins prefers the safe route as opposed to the big play. The challenge against the Chiefs is clear – he has to elevate his game if he is to keep up with Kansas City’s scoring appetite.
It will be crucial in establishing the pace of the game and the result; whether the spectacular exploits of Mahomes or the clean approach by Cousins will win the day.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -180, Total Odds: 50
The current betting odds are favoring the Chiefs at -180, with the game’s total set at over 50 points at -120. Given the Chiefs’ ability to score and their defensive lapses, the over on points seems a reasonable bet. Bettors should consider the Chiefs’ offensive firepower and propensity for high-scoring games when making their picks.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Kansas City’s trends highlight their dominance, especially against the spread (ATS), winning 7 of their last 8. Their ability to cover spreads in most scenarios makes them a reliable bet, especially with Mahomes at the helm. However, their ATS record against Atlanta isn’t as robust, which might give some pause when considering the spread this week.
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends
Atlanta’s recent betting trends aren’t as encouraging, with only 5 covers in their last 18 attempts. Their home ATS record is particularly troubling for fans hoping for an upset. This inconsistency might worry some bettors, especially against a high-caliber opponent like Kansas City.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons 9/22/24 Betting Picks
Considering the statistics and trends, the Chiefs look poised to extend their winning streak, though it may be more complex than the odds suggest. Atlanta’s ability to compete, especially with robust performances from Robinson and Mooney, should not be underestimated. However, Kansas City’s overall depth and Mahomes’ playmaking ability will likely prove too much for the Falcons.
Regarding betting, the smarter money might be on the Chiefs to win, but consider the Falcons to cover the spread if they leverage their home-field advantage and keep it close. Given both teams ‘ offensive capabilities, the over on total points also seems like a promising bet. Mahomes’ passing yards and any-time touchdown scorers could offer value for those looking at prop bets. Stay tuned to top betting sites for real-time odds and game-time decisions that could impact your final picks.
