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MLB Betting Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/21/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks (86-68) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (88-66)

As the MLB season winds down, the stakes continue to rise, especially in matchups like the upcoming clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. With the Diamondbacks just two games behind the Brewers, this game could be pivotal in the postseason race. Fans can catch all the action this Saturday, ensuring it’s a prime time battle not to be missed. For those who thrive on the thrill of in-game wagering, this matchup will be a treat for best live betting, given the tight standings and recent performances.

This season Diamondbacks have done well with the bat, as their team batting average stands at an impressive .264 slugging and on base percentage included. This offensive prowess has culminated into an astonishing number of runs, 840, courtesy of 198 home runs. However, on the other end, the team’s warrants are concerning with an ERA of 4.63, which may prove detrimental when latched against a Brewers lineup which lacks punch though with 171 homers as well as a 248 average.

On the other hand, the Brewers boast a phenomenal team ERA of 3.64 and have the best defensive record, being able to keep their WHIP to a narrow 1.23. They might not be able to hit like some Arizona teams, but they know how to scratch out runs with key hits and good base-running, and as such have continued to win games. One thing that stands out about the Brewers is how well they protect their house, and they will be taking this against the Diamondbacks, who have done well on the road.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game Info

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: American Family Field
TV: ARID, ESPN
Stream: MLB.TV

 

Merrill Kelly (4-0 W-L, 4.00 ERA) vs. Aaron Civale (7-8 W-L, 4.48 ERA)

Merrill Kelly is yet to lose a game pitched this season having earned all the 8 wins, even though this comes with restriction as Kelly has pitched for only a total of 63 innings. With an adequate ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.19, Kelly has been efficient, fanning out 49 batters and not walking many others. He has relevance in such tough situations especially against the Escape artists who will need that pinch of control from him about the home runs.

On the other hand, Aaron Civale has a 7-8 record this season and has also heightened his ERA more than what it was at 4.30 over 150.2 innings at 4.48. Still, he succeeded in his performance, beating dozens and even faced 142 strikeouts, with no funds wasted on the walks and hits. The Globe span shall require Civale to come out better than before and bring out the recesses of his experiences which have been captured through time especially in the issue of long balls against Diamondbacks’ sluggers.

 

MLB Odds/Point Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks -105, Total Odds: 8.5 

Looking at the current betting landscape, the odds are intriguingly close. The Diamondbacks come in slightly as underdogs in the moneyline at -105, reflecting the tight competitive nature of the game. The total over/under set at 8.5 suggests expectation of moderate scoring, influenced heavily by recent pitching performances and historical matchups.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The total has frequently gone OVER for the Diamondbacks, a trend that has held in 14 of their last 20 games, signaling their strong offensive outings. They’ve also shown a robust form away from home, with a 12-5 record in their recent road games, making them a dangerous visiting team.

 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee’s betting trends indicate a preference for lower-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 10 of their last 15. At home, this trend is even more pronounced, with 7 of the last 9 games underscoring. This defensive strength will be vital as they face a high-scoring Arizona team.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers 9/21/24 Betting Picks

Given the stats and trends, this game is shaping up to be a classic showdown with significant implications. While the Brewers excel at limiting runs at home, the Diamondbacks’ potent offense and recent form suggest they might have the edge, especially with Kelly on the mound.

Concluding, the smart money might be on the Diamondbacks to cover the spread, with a prediction leaning towards a slightly over game, making this an exciting pick for those looking at free MLB picks. Expect a close, competitive game with Arizona potentially edging out Milwaukee in a high-stakes duel.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks 6, Milwaukee Brewers 3

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