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MLB Betting Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants 9/27/2024

St. Louis Cardinals (81-78) vs. San Francisco Giants (79-80)

As the MLB season edges closer to its climax, the upcoming matchup at Oracle Park will be crucial for both the St. Louis Cardinals and the San Francisco Giants. Both teams are neck and neck in the standings, with the Cardinals slightly ahead. The game is scheduled for Friday, which promises to be a thrilling encounter under the lights. This match is a battle for a better record and offers intriguing options for MLB free betting picks.

With a slim one game margin in their records, the Cardinals come off a recent spate of mixed results. But as their performance throughout the entire season indicates, there is toughness and perseverance in the team. The club has recorded a batting average of 246 and has earned 655 runs batted in. Even with a mid-range offensive performance, pitching as a team averages an ERA of 4.06 and WHIP of 1.26. What remains worrying are their away game performance, which needs attention though looking at the recent trends, but there is a need to address their character concerning bounce backs.

On the other hand, the picture for the Giants has been complicated. Even if their record is almost identical to the one of the Cardinals, there have been glimpses of genius, more so in the recent games. The Giants have hit a little bit more with 176 home runs and have scored a bit more runs with total of 683 runs. Petty woes in their home games and even the pitching staff who has the same ERA and WHIP as that of the Cardinals have documented a season of missed chances and near misses.

 

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants Game Info

When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 10:15 PM ET
Where: Oracle Park
TV: MLBN, NBCS-BA, ESPN
Stream: MLB.TV

 

Miles Mikolas (9-11 W-L, 5.35 ERA) vs. Landen Roupp (1-1 W-L, 2.7 ERA)

Miles Mikolas is a competent player and a competitor on the bump for the team. Even after having a rough year with a 5.35 ERA, 9-11 W-L record, his past experiences will help him fight in the mound. His 166.2 innings pitched also prove that he is durable and can eat up innings for the Cardinals. But the worry remains his gopher ball risk, 25 home runs have been hit off him this season. St. Louis will depend a lot on his control over walks and keeping cool when it matters.

On the contrary, Landen Roupp the rookie sensation for the Giants has managed to maintain remarkable composure with a dazzling ERA of 2.7 over 46.2 innings. Even with this little time spent in the majors, Roupp’s performance has therefore been an added advantage to the Giants despite their losses. He has been both impressive in taking the hill by posting a great strikeout to walk ratio and limiting the number of hits allowed. The young gun will need to harness this form to counter the Cardinals’ hitters and prove his mettle in what could be one of his biggest starts this season.

 

MLB Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis Cardinals +100, Total Odds: 7.5

The betting odds are placing the Cardinals as slight underdogs in the moneyline at +100, with the total runs expected to be over 7.5, reflecting the anticipation of a moderately high-scoring game. The narrow spread highlights the expected competitiveness of the match, suggesting that bettors might find value in backing the underdog Cardinals or opting for the over on total runs.

 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have shown a trend towards low-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 15 of their last 20 games. This trend is crucial, especially given Mikolas’ struggles which might be offset by his history of rebounding strongly in subsequent games. Their ability to secure wins in close games, as seen in their last five outings, also provides a betting angle on the moneyline or spread.

 

San Francisco Giants Betting Trends

The Giants, while generally struggling at home, have managed to maintain a solid track record against the Cardinals at Oracle Park. The total has gone OVER in all of their last five encounters against St. Louis, which might suggest a propensity for higher scoring games when these two clash. This insight could sway bettors towards betting the over on total runs.

 

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants 9/27/24 Betting Picks

Given the current form and historical data, this matchup is poised to be tight. The Cardinals’ recent road game resilience and the Giants’ potency at home against St. Louis suggest a closely contested battle. We recommend considering the Cardinals on the moneyline as a value pick, given their underdog status and potential for an upset.

Regarding prop bets, the over on total runs seems tempting, especially with the Giants’ recent high-scoring games against the Cardinals. The potential for an unexpected slugfest is there, making it a top live betting option for those looking to engage with the game as it unfolds.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals 5, San Francisco Giants 3

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