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NFL Week 4 Betting Prediction: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 9/29/2024

New Orleans Saints (2-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-1)

The NFL’s Week 4 brings us an intriguing NFC South matchup as the New Orleans Saints, holding a promising 2-1 record, visit the Atlanta Falcons, who are currently 1-1 this season. As the stakes rise, fans and bettors turn their attention to the top live betting websites, expecting a tightly contested game that could tip the balance in favor of either team in the divisional race.

The attacking unit of the Saints’ has moved in a synchronized manner ever since Derek Carr took command. Carr’s 68.8% completion ratio and his 585 passing yards in 3 games underscore why this quarterback is good because he makes timely plays with the ball. However, the ground game stands out, with Alvin Kamara leading the charge with 285 rushing yards, an average of 4.7 rushing yards per carry himself, and scoring four touchdowns. The threat on the ground also carries over into the passing game with Chris Olave, who has collected 178 yards passing on only 12 catches.

On the opposite side, Kirk Cousins has been no magic bullet for the Atlanta Falcons. Cousins has connected on 66.7% of passes for 626 yards in three games but has thrown three interceptions, indicating he can be vulnerable under duress. The run game which has not yet lived up to that expectation with their leading back been Robinson who has only been able to amass 196 and presented at 4.1 yards per carry. Darnell Mooney, the most likely leading receiver in this case, has registered this average as well accounting 169 yards from 18 throwing attempts.

 

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Game Info

When: Sunday, September 29, 2024, at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Derek Carr QB vs. Kirk Cousins QB

Derek Carr has been the key for the Saints, maintaining a passer rating of 115.7 with effective throws and plays that give an upper hand to what benefits the Saints. The Saints knew that he was an important piece of their system because he did not fold under duress and still managed to complete a high percentage of passes.

On the other hand, the same could not be said for Kirk Cousins of the Falcons who, though boasts a decent completion percentage, has always been playing catch-up because of the interceptions and sacks that caused some drives to turn useless. His numbers, while respectable, do not have the kind of performance reed-bearing Carr fundamentals that provide the Saints extra mileage in the quarterback tussle.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta Falcons -190, Total Odds: 45

The betting lines present the Falcons as slight favorites at -3.5, reflecting the home-field advantage, but the Saints’ +158 moneyline suggests that the oddsmakers acknowledge their potential to upset. The over/under set at 45 points considers both teams’ offensive capabilities and recent performances.

 

New Orleans Saints Betting Trends

The Saints have been strong against the spread, going 4-1 in their last five games, showing they often outperform betting expectations. Additionally, their 4-1 straight-up record in recent games against Atlanta highlights their edge in this matchup. These trends suggest a resilience and ability to perform under pressure, making them a solid bet, especially with the points.

 

Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

Conversely, Atlanta has struggled recently, with a 1-4 record ATS in their last five games, and their performances at home have predominantly leaned towards the under on total points. This pattern may concern Falcons fans, considering their team’s inconsistency and the aggressive offense they’re set to face.

 

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons 9/29/24 Betting Picks

Upon review of the stats and trends of the most recent bettingLine.com New Orleans Saints, it is fair to assert that this team is one of the strongest contenders given their ATS and Derek Carr’s current form. Their offensive ceiling and diversity give them a solid chance to cover the spread and even win the game.

When it comes to places and markets for football betting picks, it is not a surprise that the Saints will not only provide value anymore on the moneyline but will bring even better odds for over bets as they tend to go over the total points set. In particular, Kamara, as an anytime touchdown scorer is a nice prop to add value on betting on the Saints.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: New Orleans Saints 28, Atlanta Falcons 24

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