Philadelphia Phillies (95-67) vs. New York Mets (89-73)
As the MLB October comes, the Philadelphia Phillies are up against the New York Mets in a highly contested Game 3 of the NLDS, on October 8, 2024. This clash at Citi Field is surely becoming a focal point of the postseason, and to be fair, the fans and the bettors have been waiting for that moment. And for those placing wagers on MLB postseason daily picks, this particular game is interesting to people who want to understand the championship in two teams with much to prove.
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game riding the high of having had a strong offensive year and a combined .257 batting average with 198 home runs. In addition, their slugging percentage of .425 also goes a long way in telling how good the team is at scoring runs, and smashing game-altering home runs. But the team has been hit or miss in the last few games and has been all over the place in results.
On the other side, the New York Mets have taken advantage of the home ground as their 12-2 SU record in the last 14 games played at home shows the combination of their offense and defense on home ground. The Mets also possess power from the plate as 207 home runs hit within the plate puts them slightly ahead of the Phillies coupled with a high .415 slugging prowess. They have remained in the race because of their pitching, spearheaded by their starter’s brilliance, in which the opponents have only been allowed to hit .230.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Game Info
| When: | Tuesday, October 8, 2024 at 5:08 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| TV: | FS1, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Aaron Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) vs. Sean Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA)
Aaron Nola takes the ball for the Phillies with an impressive 14-8 record and 3.57 ERA. This season, Nola has garnered 197 strikeouts against just 50 walks proving that he knows how to control the game and prevent the other team from scoring. Nola is very valuable, particularly in pressure situations and how well he performs under pressure will be important when facing the formidable Mets lineup.
The Mets have made everything perfect for Sean Manaea with him pitching to a solid 12-6 record and a well-established 3.47 ERA with a thin 1.08 WHIP. Manaea also boasts of some good stats in the number of strikeouts since he has 184 strikeouts posted up within 181.2 innings this season, and this is a big plus against any hard-hitting team such as the Phillies. Manaea’s improvement in home runs given (21 this season) will come in handy against the hitters of the Phillies.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -112, Total Odds: 7.5
The current betting lines see the Phillies slightly favored, but the odds reflect the tight nature of this matchup. The over 7.5 runs is an enticing option given both teams’ recent history of high-scoring games, especially with both teams tending to go OVER in their recent encounters.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Philadelphia’s recent trend with the total going OVER in 7 of their last 7 games indicates their games tend to be high scoring, which could be pivotal in postseason settings where every run counts. However, their struggle on the road against the Mets could concern bettors leaning toward the Phillies.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets’ strong performance at home and consistent ability to go OVER in totals, combined with a favorable matchup history against the Phillies at Citi Field, positions them as a strong contender in this game. Their recent success rate at home makes betting on the Mets an attractive proposition.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 10/8/24 Betting Picks
Given the stats and trends, this game appears poised for a high-scoring affair, making the OVER on total runs a sensible pick. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to put runs on the board, especially in crucial games.
The Mets, with their strong home record and slight edge in pitching matchups, seem poised to take advantage of their home field. For those engaged in best live betting, watching the game unfold could provide opportunities to leverage momentum shifts, especially with such evenly matched teams. Betting on the Mets to leverage their home advantage and possibly cover the spread makes a compelling choice for this game.
