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MLB Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets 10/16/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) vs. New York Mets (89-73)

The stage is set for a captivating Game 3 of the National League Championship Series as the Los Angeles Dodgers, a whopping record of 98-64, take on the resilient New York Mets, who have managed an 89 -73 record this season. But before that, the Mets and the Dodgers are willing to get the advantage in this Wednesday’s game at Citi Field. As the games become even more crucial, fans and bettors are continuously looking for winning MLB postseason picks, further emphasizing the importance of this matchup.

As a team, the Los Angeles Dodgers are hitting .258 with 233 home runs from a .446 slugging percentage which averages how well they hit. This shows their potential to drive in runs and come through in big pressure moments. This offensive capability has been well supported by their pitching staff as well with a solid 3.9 ERA and 1.23 WHIP lowering the effectiveness of the hitters on the opposite team and managing the game’s tempo.

On the other hand, the New York Mets have been resilient all season, bringing the number of victories to 89. They are not quite up to the Dodgers in terms of batting average and slugging average, however, they do boast a good home run count of 207, right along with the commendable .319 on-base percentage. The pitchers of the New York Mets have a bafflingly similar ERA of 3.96 alongside a 1.26 WHIP and have been effective in doing hard games that require a lot of defense against good hitters.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Game Info

When: Wednesday, October 16, 2024, at 8:08 PM ET
Where: Citi Field
TV: FS1
Stream: MLB.TV

 

Walker Buehler (1-6 W-L, 5.38 ERA) vs. Luis Severino (11-7 W-L, 3.91 ERA)

Walker Buehler has had his share of difficulties this year as seen in his overall record of 1-6 together with a high 5.38 ERA. However, this Buehler has got what it takes to make a turnaround. He pitched a total of 75.1 innings during which he registered a total of 64 strikeouts and emphasized a 1.55 WHIP, so if he had more control and his defense was let’s say on the stronger side, he could definitely be a game-shift. Yet, Buehler, with 16 dingers allowed thus far, is quite susceptible, something that the Mets will look to target in this decisive match.

On the other hand, Luis Severino has been the more reliable of the Mets pitching staff, evidenced by the 11-7 win-loss record along with a decent 3.91 ERA over 182 innings pitched. His precision in pitching as well as his ability to rack up strikeouts, evidenced by his 161 K’s, will be needed for a power hitting Dodgers team. Severino’s experience, in addition to his composure in high pressure situations, is invaluable in the attempt to take the series lead for the Mets. On the other hand, his 60 walks this season, will have to be curbed pitching to a disciplined Dodgers team.

 

MLB Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -112, Total Odds: 6.5

The betting odds lean slightly in favor of the Dodgers at -112 on the moneyline, reflecting their robust season performance and offensive capabilities. The total set at 6.5 with trends favoring the over suggests expectations for a high-scoring affair, considering both teams’ potent lineups and the pivotal nature of this game in the series.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have been formidable, particularly over their recent stretch, going 9-3 SU in their last 12 games. Their ability to perform under pressure is evident from their 5-1 SU record in the last six matchups against the Mets, including a dominant 6-1 SU record in their recent road games. However, the trend of games going UNDER when playing at the Mets’ home field could challenge their offensive strategy.

 

New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets, like the Dodgers, have enjoyed a favorable trend in scoring, with the total going OVER in 5 of their last 6 games. Their home field advantage is significant, given their 8-1 SU record in recent home games, and the UNDER trend in matchups against the Dodgers at Citi Field could point towards a defensively strong performance.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets 10/16/24 Betting Picks

As we delve into Game 3, the Dodgers appear to have a slight edge due to their offensive depth and postseason experience. However, the Mets’ home field advantage and Severino’s steadiness present a formidable challenge. This game could hinge on pitching performances, particularly how well Buehler can rebound against the pressure of the Mets’ lineup.

Regarding betting, the safer pick seems to be to bet the over on the total number of runs scored on this one as per the present scoring forms for both teams coupled with the intensity of the situation. For those who focus on prop bets, recommending total strikeouts in the case of Severino or home runs for the Los Angeles Dodgers could prove to be good, using some of the best bookie software for enhanced odds and insight.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers 4, New York Mets 3

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