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NFL Week 7 Betting Prediction: Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints 10/17/2024

Denver Broncos (3-3) vs. New Orleans Saints (2-4)

With the competition intensifying for the showdown set for October 17, 2024, the attention shifts to the Denver Broncos and the New Orleans Saints as they prepare to meet inside Caesar’s Superdome. The middle of the season has the Broncos aiming to keep their record even at .500 while the Saints are looking to rebound from a 2-4 hole. Scheduled to air on Prime Video at eight in the evening, Eastern time, this particular encounter stands a chance of attracting viewers in both camps: those in need of some breathtaking encounters and those looking for some amazing NFL picks today.

The plan for offense in the Broncos camp has had both its highs and its lows during this season, some of them more pronounced in the running game and some more in the passing game. Bo Nix is still suffering from much in the way of nerves, given his status as a rookie, even though he has recorded passing stats of 866 yards over five games which makes him an average threat in the air. Nevertheless, it is the case of the Denver ground game which might turn some heads, with Javonte Williams only able to total 190 yards rushing over the same period. However, the real breakout player is Courtland Sutton, who plays as a receiver; where he has collected 224 yards and has proven useful to the Denver offense with his big plays.

On the Other Hand, with the Saints, Alvin Kamara has emerged as the more effective playmaker and has recorded five rushing touchdowns and 388 rushing yards this season. In this setting, the combination of Kamara’s ability to run the ball well and Carr’s accurate arm may be too much for any Denver defenders. To date, Carr has managed to throw for 989 yards, decorating the play with eight touchdown passes while doing two-way contact with Rashid Shaheed, who has bagged 338 yards and three touchdowns off 19 receptions. The difference this pair makes will be important for New Orleans if they are going to kill off the defending team.

 

Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints Game Info

When: Thursday, October 17, 2024 at 8:15 PM ET
Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
TV: Prime Video
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Bo Nix QB vs. Derek Carr QB

Bo Nix’s experiences to this point have been more or less the process of fitting and learning all about the NFL’s steep learning curve. Nix’s NFL passer rating is a rather low 71.4 but he has experienced bright flashes, even though the rookie mistakes tend to take over. He will need to be cool-headed and control turnovers as he will be facing the Saints defense that has its soft-spots but can strike through interceptions at critical instances. 

Derek Carr, however, has performed better on most occasions as evidenced by his average passer distributor rating of 100.7. What’s more, his complete rate of 70.3% not only speaks volumes of scope-wise but also of the orbit which he controls. With high expectations comes Carr’s experience and leadership, which may well be the key determinant of the outcome in a game that is expected to be important and with a lot of pressure.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans Saints -115, Total Odds: 37.5

The betting lines are tight, with the Saints as slight favorites, reflecting their home-field advantage and the Broncos’ struggles on the road. The total set at 37.5 suggests expectations of a defensive battle, which aligns with both teams’ recent underwhelming offensive outputs. However, bettors might find value in exploring over opportunities, considering both teams have shown sporadic bursts of scoring prowess.

 

Denver Broncos Betting Trends

The Broncos have demonstrated resilience against the spread, going 4-2 in their last six games, and a strong record against the Saints historically. However, their road game woes, where they’ve won only 6 out of the last 20, cannot be ignored. These trends suggest that while Denver can be competitive, inconsistencies, especially in away settings, could be their undoing.

 

New Orleans Saints Betting Trends

New Orleans’ home record hasn’t been stellar either, with a 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Their recent form in October, going 1-4 ATS, adds to the skepticism about their ability to cover spreads, even in familiar confines. However, their ability to score against AFC teams might be an angle for over-bettors to consider.

 

Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints 10/17/24 Betting Picks

The Saints seem ready to take advantage of the weaknesses in the defense of the Denver Broncos, particularly with the passing game of Carr and the running game played by Kamara as they enter this showdown. The Broncos might try to make it a contest, but New Orleans looks ready for a win at home where they absolutely must change the course of their season.

As for the bettors, the under might be a sound option because both teams’ most recent contests have been low-scoring, but the games themselves might be higher-scoring than expected based on the individual matchups. Props on Kamara’s rushing yards can be a good bet for them as they will expect good production from him. With the spread bet, the Saints seem the likely team to cover given the home advantage and the deplorable away record of Denver. The best betting lines are likely to change on the days approaching the game, so pay attention to the best bookie software for that.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: New Orleans Saints 24, Denver Broncos 20.

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