UFC on ESPN 60 Betting Prediction: Amanda Lemos vs. Virna Jandiroba 7/20/2024
As the UFC continues its exciting battles, their UFC on ESPN 60 event at UFC Apex in Las Vegas promises an intense Women’s Strawweight bout between Amanda Lemos and Virna Jandiroba at 14-3-1 against 20-3-0 respectively, providing fans and bettors alike an excellent opportunity for live betting online. These two warriors prepare to face each other off as betting odds favor Jandiroba at -150 against Lemos at +130; suggesting it will be a closely contested affair.
Amanda Lemos vs. Virna Jandiroba Game Info
| When: | Saturday, July 20, 2024, at 8:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Amanda Lemos Analysis
Amanda Lemos arrives with a quite formidable arsenal of striking, and any lady competing at strawweight represents a threat. Her average of 3.43 significant strikes landed per minute at an accuracy rate of 54% illustrates her ability to connect effectively and efficiently, making every fight she has dangerous for her opponents. The southpaw stance of Lemos is in itself strategic and often poses problems for orthodox fighters to adjust their defense and counter-attacks. There are, however, concerns regarding her defensive capabilities in long exchanges—she absorbs 4.21 strikes per minute at a higher rate, which also underlines that she will have to keep distance and pick spots extremely carefully in terms of engagement to ensure minimum damage while looking to exploit her striking advantage.
Amanda Lemos is well-versed in grappling, with an average of 0.98 takedowns every 15 minutes and takedown accuracy of 63%. Of course, these are not the primary weapons in her fighting repertoire. Her takedown defense sits at 57%, which might be tested against a grappler like Jandiroba. The number of times Lemos attempts submissions averaged is moderate, which indicates she might be able to survive some ground scenarios but prefers taking the fight back to stand-up, where she gets her best work done. Further illustrating that in her most recent win over an extremely high level grappler in Dern, yes, shows a great deal of prep for and countering styles opposite her own.
Virna Jandiroba Analysis
Virna Jandiroba, better known by her initials “CARCARA,” is a grappling arts master who has incorporated techniques from that discipline well into her MMA strategy. Her average of 2.36 takedowns every 15 minutes acts to complement a formidable takedown defense of 73%, showing an overall proficiency in controlling the pace and location of her fights. This is further governed by her high defensive striking rate of 57% due to the fact that she can take minimum damage while closing distances for initiating grapples. Jandiroba’s strategy is extremely methodical and patient, only waiting for opponents’ mistakes to make matters fall in her hands to take the fight to the floor. Although she has a somewhat lower striking rate and accuracy, 2.30 SLpM at 38%, it may prove detrimental in stand-up exchanges, her strategy does appear to offer a way around engaging in extended striking battles.
Part of what was so interesting about Jandiroba’s last fight against Godinez was that it emphasized her expectation of domination on the ground, a very important trait against someone like Lemos who makes her living working in a stand-up position. Her high submission average of 1.2 per 15 minutes really makes her a threat to any opponent not prepared for her ground work. She often grinds down opponents by using her grappling before securing submissions, an approach that speaks much to her tactical acumen and physical endurance. Although her striking is not as dynamic as Lemos’, providing a good ability to absorb and deflect strikes effectively gives her room for managing risks until she can leverage the strength of grappling.
Amanda Lemos vs. Virna Jandiroba Stats
| Lemos | Jandiroba | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 14-3-1 | 20-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:42 | 12:00 |
| Height | 5′ 4″ | 5′ 3″ |
| Weight | 115 lbs. | 115 lbs. |
| Reach | 65″ | 64″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 3.43 | 2.30 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 38% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 4.21 | 2.96 |
| Defense | 44% | 57% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.98 | 2.36 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 63% | 36% |
| Takedown Defense | 57% | 73% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Amanda Lemos vs. Virna Jandiroba Betting Picks
Examining the tactical matchup and betting odds reveals that this fight could fall to either fighter based on their respective strengths. Lemos will likely opt to utilize her superior striking power to keep the fight standing and exploit her reach and power advantage, while Jandiroba looks to bring it down to the mat where her superior grappling and submission skills could prove decisive; betting odds slightly favor her due to her formidable grappling foundation which often plays out decisively during closely matched contests.
Given the dynamics of this matchup, Jandiroba appears to be the safer betting choice given her ability to control opponents on the ground and higher defensive metrics. However, don’t discount Lemos’ striking power or resilience if she manages to keep things off of the mat; bettors should view Jandiroba’s favored odds as indicative of her potential to secure control and capitalize on her ground game.
Free Pick: Virna Jandiroba -150
Amanda Lemos and Virna Jandiroba’s UFC on ESPN 60 bout is set to be an exciting matchup, pitting striking against grappling. Bettors looking for UFC free picks today might find Jandiroba more appealing due to her grappling prowess which aligns better with Lemos’ striking-heavy approach; fans and bettors will closely be monitoring to see whether Jandiroba can continue her winning streak or if Lemos can overturn odds and secure victory.
