Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ailin Perez 7/15/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds
Ashlee-Evans Smith and Ailin Perez will square battle in the women’s bantamweight category to open the prelims for Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva. Smith will be fighting for the first time since 2020, while Stephanie Egger defeated Perez in her UFC debut in September 2022. Ailin Perez and Ashlee Evans-Smith will square off at UFC Vegas 77 on Saturday, July 15, 2023. Evans-Smith is listed at +125 on the moneyline, while Perez is at -150.
Ashlee “Rebel Girl” Evans-Smith will aim to increase her 6-5-0 career record by one victory. The 36-year-old weighs 135 pounds and is 6 feet tall. The 36-year-old, who weighs 135 pounds and is 5’8″, will compete. The conventional fighter extends 67″. Ailin “Fiona” Perez is 135 pounds and stands at 5’5″. The switch fighter will be attempting to improve her 7-2-0 career record. The 28-year-old goes 66 years further. Ailin Perez connects on 1.62 significant strikes per minute, compared to Ashlee Evans-Smith’s 4.54 significant strikes per minute. Perez makes 47% of his big strikes connect, compared to Evans-Smith’s 34%. In the ring, “Rebel Girl” gives up 4.69 significant strikes per minute, whereas “Fiona” only absorbs 1.52. Additionally, Evans-Smith thwarts 55% of the important hits her opponents direct at her, compared to Perez’s 31% success rate.
Due to a severe back injury that required surgery, Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5) hasn’t competed in over three years, but she is now healthy and prepared to return. She has only had one victory in the previous six years and lost her last two battles. In her return match this weekend against Ailin Perez, Smith will be attempting to turn things around.
Ashlee Evans-Smith isn’t as good a wrestler as other women because she only submits her opponents 1.10 times per 15 minutes. On 23% of her attempts, Evans-Smith brings her opponent to the ground, whereas on 66% of her opponent’s takedown attempts, she successfully defends. In 33% of her takedown attempts, Perez succeeds in pinning her opponent to the ground, whereas in 71% of her adversaries’ takedown attempts, she successfully avoids the takedown. Evans-Smith is the least proficient of the two combatants in trying for the submission; he attempts 0.4 finishes per three minutes compared to Perez’s 0.9 attempts every fifteen minutes.
Ashlee Evans-Smith faced Norma Dumont in her last fight, which she lost unanimously in round three. Dumont connected on 109 of the 178 total blows he tried in the battle. Evans-Smith finished the evening with 47 of his 169 total strikes connected. Dumont made 94 out of 161 significant strikes, giving her a 58% success rate. She won the battle by hitting 78 of the critical 142 head-focused blows. According to statistics, Evans-Smith scored 42 of 164 substantial hits, or 25% of her total attempts. According to the considerable strike accuracy, she hit the head with 12 of 108 strikes. Dumont and Evans-Smith made notable distance strikes, with Dumont landing 75% of them and Evans-Smith 88%.
Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ailin Perez 7/15/2023 Expert Picks, Tips and Odds
Ailin Perez faced Stephanie Egger in her last match but lost via rear naked choke in round 2. Perez succeeded with 50% of the crucial strikes she attempted at a distance, whereas Egger ultimately succeeded with 33% of her significant blows. Perez scored 16 out of 34 big hits or 47% of her total attempts. She ultimately succeeded in landing seven of the 20 powerful head-directed blows. In the game, Egger connected on 15 of 22 critical swings. She made nine of the 16 crucial head-directed strikes out of all the significant strikes. When comparing total strikes thrown, Egger had a strike rate of 47 out of 64, whereas Perez had a strike rate of 41 out of 61.
Ailin Perez (7-2) made her UFC debut against the larger and more powerful Stephanie Egger on short notice. She fought back initially, but Egger eventually took her down and subdued her. When Perez competes against Ashlee Evans-Smith this Saturday night, she will seek her first UFC victory.
Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ailin Perez. While both athletes have had uneven success in the UFC, Ailin Perez is coming off a solid showing in her most recent contest, even though she was unsuccessful. This encounter may give her the self-assurance and inspiration to recover and defeat Evans-Smith.
With a background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Perez has solid grappling abilities. She could counter Evans-Smith’s strikes and take control of the fight on the ground if she can successfully execute her grappling game plan. Perez is 28 years old and younger than Evans-Smith, who is 36. This age difference will be crucial in this game since Evans-Smith has been sidelined from competition due to a persistent back problem requiring surgery.
Evans-Smith’s performance might be hampered by her back ailment, especially considering that she will be required to defend takedowns and grapple for the entirety of this fight. Perez could succeed if she can enforce her will.
Prediction: Ailin Perez: -220, Over 2.5 Rounds: -192
Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada
Date: Saturday, July 15, 2023
Main Card: 10:00 PM ET
Prelims: 6:00 PM ET
Watch on: ESPN and ESPN+
