Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/6/2023 Analysis, Predictions and Picks
On Tuesday evening, the Baltimore Orioles will begin a three-game interleague series on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The Orioles, with an overall record of 37-22, have been performing well on the road with a 20-10 record. They are currently 4.5 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays, who hold the top spot in the league. So far this season, the Orioles have scored 292 runs and allowed 262, resulting in a +30 run differential.
In their previous series against the San Francisco Giants, the Orioles won both the opener and finale. Their most recent victory was an 8-3 road win, during which they had a six-run blast in the third inning and totaled 10 hits in the game.
For the series opener against the Brewers, the Orioles will send right-handed pitcher Kyle Gibson to the mound. Gibson holds a 7-3 record this season with a 3.89 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and 47 strikeouts in 71.2 innings pitched. In his most recent start, he pitched 5.2 innings, allowing 7 hits and 3 earned runs.
The Orioles have been successful in road games against teams with winning records, going 5-1 in their last 6 such outings. They have also performed well when the total runs are set between 9.0 and 10.5, with a record of 13-3 in their last 16 games under those conditions. The under has been the trend in Baltimore’s last 5 games against National League Central Division rivals and in their last 5 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. However, the over has hit in 4 of their last 6 Tuesday games and in their last 5 road games against teams with winning records.
Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/6/2023 Analysis, Predictions and Picks
The Milwaukee Brewers are returning home after winning a 3-1 series against the Cincinnati Reds. They currently hold a 32-28 overall record and are 16-12 when playing at home. In the NL Central, they are second, just half a game behind the first-place Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers have scored 241 runs this season but have allowed 262, resulting in a run differential of -21.
In their most recent game against the Reds, the Brewers suffered a 0-2 shutout loss, managing only three hits and no runs.
Taking the mound for the Brewers in the series opener will be right-hander Freddy Peralta. Peralta holds a 5-5 record this season with a 4.62 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and 61 strikeouts in 60.1 innings pitched. In his last outing, he gave up 3 earned runs on 6 hits in 6.0 innings pitched.
Regarding betting trends, the totals have gone over in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games, and the Marlins have won 4 of their last 5 games. When facing the Kansas City Royals, the totals have gone under in 4 of Miami’s last 6 matchups, but the Marlins have won 8 of their last 10 home games. When playing at home against the Royals, the Marlins have a record of 2-5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers The MLB pick for this contest is Baltimore +110. The Baltimore Orioles have been performing exceptionally well on the road with a record of 17-12, while the Milwaukee Brewers have struggled recently, losing three out of their last seven games and relinquishing their lead in the NL Central. The Orioles will rely on their standout pitcher this season, Kyle Gibson, who has been instrumental in their success. Gibson has won his last three starts, allowing only four earned runs and striking out 11 batters. On the other hand, Milwaukee’s starter, Freddy Peralta, has struggled in two of his last three starts, giving up a total of 10 earned runs. Based on these factors, the prediction is that the Baltimore Orioles will come out on top with a score of 5-3.
MLB Starting Time: 7:40 PM ET
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Date: Tuesday, June 6, 2023
TV: MASN
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore Orioles +110
MLB Totals: 8.5