Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks 3/30/2023 Expert Picks, Odds and Analysis
The Boston Celtics are gearing up to take on the Milwaukee Bucks in an NBA showdown at Fiserv Forum in WI, set to take place on Thursday, March 30, 2023, at 7:30 PM ET. Boston’s recent game against the Washington Wizards ended in a disappointing loss, with the depleted Wizards managing to secure an unexpected victory, led by Kristaps Porzingis, who scored an impressive 32 points. The Wizards outshot the Celtics from beyond the arc, with a 25.0% success rate, and dominated the boards, securing a +5 rebounding advantage. Boston found themselves trailing behind early on, with a halftime score of 64-51, which only worsened in the third quarter, with the Wizards’ lead growing to 23 points.
This season, the Celtics are led by Jayson Tatum, who averages an impressive 30.1 points per game, shooting 46.2%, while also contributing 8.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists. Other key players to watch out for include Jaylen Brown, who averages 26.8 PPG and 6.9 RPG, Malcolm Brogdon, who contributes 14.6 PPG and 4.2 RPG, Derrick White, who averages 12.3 PPG and 4.0 APG, and Marcus Smart, who averages 11.4 PPG and 6.3 APG. Boston ranks fourth in scoring, with an average of 118.0 points per game, and has a shooting percentage of 47.5% (15th), with a 37.6% success rate from beyond the arc (7th). They also rank fourth in free throw percentage (81.5%) and seventh in rebounding margin, with an average of 45.2 rebounds per game. According to Dunks and Threes, the Celtics rank third in modified offensive rating and seventeenth in playing time.
- Boston is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 matches with the Bucks.
- The Boston Celtics are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Milwaukee.
- The total went OVER in 4 of the Celtics’ last 5 games on the road.
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks 3/30/2023 Expert Picks, Odds and Analysis
Milwaukee Bucks bounced back from their previous loss to Denver Nuggets with a resounding 129-106 win against Detroit Pistons. They dominated the boards, outrebounding Detroit by three, and had an impressive 84.6% free throw success rate, making 22 out of 26 attempts. However, Milwaukee will be without Meyers Leonard, Crowder, and Middleton in their upcoming game on Wednesday. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the scoring charts for Milwaukee this season, averaging an impressive 31.1 points per game with a 55.0% shooting accuracy, 11.7 rebounds, and 5.7 assists.
Milwaukee ranks eighth in scoring, averaging 116.8 points per game and sits at nineteenth in field goal percentage (47.1%), with a 36.5% success rate from beyond the arc (12th). They also have a significant rebounding advantage, with a +4.3 average, but have struggled from the free-throw line, shooting at 74.4% (28th). The Bucks are eighth in pace and seventeenth in adjusted offensive rating. Defensively, they allow an average of 112.4 points per game, but their opponents have a tough time shooting against them, with a 45.1% field goal success rate (2nd) and a 34.8% success rate from beyond the arc (5th). Milwaukee is 20th in assist-per-turnover ratio but ranks second in adjusted defensive rating.The Milwaukee Bucks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games at home against Boston.
- Milwaukee is15-2 SU in their last 17 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
- The total stayed UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee’s last 17 games with a team in the Atlantic Division.
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks. The NBA Pick for this game is the Boston Celtics. The Bucks will be cautious with their players because Milwaukee is playing two back-to-back games and has several injured players. While both the Celtics and Milwaukee performed well against the spread. The home team triumphed in each of their previous meetings, but this one will be a little different because the Bucks are playing back-to-back games. The Celtics will have a field day on defense if Milwaukee does decide to keep some players out, as Boston plays a very strong defense that allows opponents to shoot only 46.5% from the field and 34.9% from three. Boston will cover and play aggressively against the Bucks on back-to-back nights. Boston will win by a predicted score of 121-117.
NBA Starting Time: 7:30 PM (EDT)
Location: Fiserv Forum, WI
Date: Thursday, March 30, 2023
TV: TNT
NBA Odds: Boston Celtics +3
NBA Totals: 236.5