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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 246 Betting Prediction: Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi 11/2/2024

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 246 Betting Prediction: Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi 11/2/2024. There is a lot of hype surrounding the flyweight event between Brandon Moreno and Amir Albazi as the clock counts down to UFC Fight Night 246. What is interesting about this fight is Moreno’s much more experienced, although a bit inconsistent, professional record of 21-8-2 compared to Albazi’s 17-1-0 tally. As we check the latest UFC odds and picks, Moreno is the slight favorite at -150 while Albazi is at +130, with Moreno having a slighter edge.

 

Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi Game Info

When: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
TV: ESPN+

 

Brandon Moreno Analysis

Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno comes into his fight full of confidence, with a piece of developmental baggage and a record that showcases his durability and two-way capabilities. Moreno has engaged in a total of 31 professional fights which his resume shows that he has gotten the better of most fights and had many draws suggesting a tough competitor as well. With a height of 5’ 7” and reach advantage of 70 inches, Moreno is able to sustain his orthodox stance and average 3.87 significant strikes at a 44% accuracy over a span of one minute. Even though he has been hit with 3.63 strikes on average a minute, his defense strategy is not short with 59% of strikes getting successfully ducked.

As for grappling, on average, Moreno gets 1.74 takedowns for every sixty seconds with moderate accuracy of 46%, while so far his percentage defensively stands at 63%, hence making him a material foe on the arena. Losing to Royval last time is still hurting Moreno as he acutely recalls how the smallest of details can change the entire fight and thus, has more work to do in this regard especially when one tussles with Albazi who is ascendant in the g

 

Amir Albazi Analysis

Amir “The Prince” Albazi, although he has not fought more than thrice, has been quite a force in the octagon as he has lost just once in his record of 17 fights. That one loss stands as the only blemish to his career and it positions him among the most precise and effective fighters of the flyweight division. Although Albazi at 5′ 5” with an arm reach of 68 inches looks considerably smaller than Moreno, his striking and grappling stats tell a different story. Per minute, Albazi earns 2.80 significant strikes, out of his total of 39% of landings, while he employs a 63% defense to counter significant strikes.

As regards Albazi’s grappling, he seems to be around close to spending similar time in takedowns with Moreno displaying 1.71 takedown averages in 15 minutes with 33% takedown accuracy. Still, his lower takedown defense of 40% can be a weakness that Moreno could then have to exploit. Through the means of analysis, it can also be deduced that Albazi’s recent victory over Kara-France means that he has a strong and fighting spirit which will help in overpowering higher-ranked fighters. Hence in this matchup, Albazi looks like a dangerous opponent.

 

Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi Stats

Moreno Albazi
Wins/Losses/Draws 21-8-2 17-1-0
Average Fight Time 16:09 12:18
Height 5′ 7″ 5′ 5″
Weight 125 lbs. 125 lbs.
Reach 70″ 68″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 3.87 2.80
Striking Accuracy 44% 39%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 3.63 3.07
Defense 59% 63%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.74 1.71
Takedown Accuracy 46% 33%
Takedown Defense 63% 40%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.5 0.7

 

Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi Betting Picks

Assessing both fighters, Moreno’s experience and slightly better overall fight metrics give him the edge in this matchup. His ability to handle fights under pressure and adapt to different fighting styles could be crucial in overcoming Albazi’s technical prowess. However, Albazi’s strong defensive game and rapid rise through the ranks should not be underestimated.

In terms of betting, Moreno’s odds at -150 suggest confidence in his experience and overall skill set, making him the safer bet. However, for those looking for a potentially higher reward, Albazi’s +130 offers an enticing opportunity given his consistent performance and the vulnerability Moreno showed in his last fight.

 

Free Pick: Brandon Moreno -150

 

With both fighters exhibiting great proficiency in striking and grappling techniques, this has UFC Fight Night 246 features a thrilling battle that is expected to be entertaining. Fans who wish to watch live and place their bets will be out of luck as this is more than a talent showcase, it is also a chance to be involved in the best live betting opportunities. Be it Morrison’s experience or the young powerhouse Albazi you have on your side, Saturday night at Rogers Centre will not disappoint the fans’ expectations.

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