UFC 306 Betting Prediction: Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes 9/14/2024 – In the heart of Las Vegas, two formidable featherweights, Brian Ortega and Diego Lopes, will clash at UFC 306. Scheduled for Saturday, September 14, 2024, this fight promises to be an electrifying display of mixed martial arts skill and strategy. Both fighters have impressive records and distinct styles, making this matchup a pivotal event for betting enthusiasts seeking value with the best bookie software. The fight will occur at the state-of-the-art Sphere, with live coverage on ESPN+.
Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET |
| Where: | The Sphere, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Brian Ortega Analysis
Brian Ortega’s fight record includes 16-3-0 (1 NC), hence the nickname ‘T-city,’ calibrating striking and grappling to indefatigable use. In his fights, Ortega has an average time of 12:47 since he adopts a complete strategy to kill his opponents and gets the finish in the windup rounds. His striking accuracy roughly remains high at 38%. Ortega absorbs 6.54 strikes per minute but does not let his opponents overpower him, as his defense is 49%. Within 15 minutes, Ortega completes 1.17 takedowns and achieves only 27% takedown accuracy while supplementing with 1.2 submissions in 15 15-minute time span, though his striking offense is definitely above average. Ortega’s last fight with Rodriguez testifies to his fighting spirit and capability of fighting adversity in the second half of the battle.
Diego Lopes Analysis
Diego Lopes heads into the octagon with a 25-6-0 record and is more vicious in terms of attacks with a lower average fight lasting time of 7:28. Lopes manages to throw accurate strikes with an accuracy rate of 55 percent and takes less punishment in return with 4.08 strikes absorbed per minute. However, his defense is somewhat weak, as evidenced by a rate of 39 percent. In the clinch and ground game particularly, Lopes excelled with a high submission average of 3.7 per 15-minute period compared to his takedown average of 0.33, which is relatively lower. His last fight with Ige only further cements the stature of Lopes in the featherweight category. Given Lopes’ orthodox stance and reach advantage, it is likely that he will ask Ortega to chase after him, making it hard for the latter to get too close without incurring costs in significant amounts.
Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes Stats
| Ortega | Lopes | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 16-3-0 (1 NC) | 25-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:47 | 7:28 |
| Height | 5′ 8″ | 5′ 11″ |
| Weight | 145 lbs. | 145 lbs. |
| Reach | 69″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.07 | 3.24 |
| Striking Accuracy | 38% | 55% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 6.54 | 4.08 |
| Defense | 49% | 39% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 1.17 | 0.33 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 27% | 25% |
| Takedown Defense | 57% | 46% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 1.2 | 3.7 |
Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes Betting Picks
Examining the statistics and fighting patterns, there is a surety that this fight at UFC 306 is going to be a complete test of every fighter’s strong points. Ortega’s cardio and fighting deep within the rounds may successfully contradict Lopes’ quick malevolent finishes. On the other hand, factors like the tendency of Ortega to receive various strikes may work to Lopes’ advantage, provided he keeps up with the precision and defensive tactics.
In the betting landscape, Diego Lopes emerges as the slight favorite with odds at -145 compared to Ortega’s +125. This suggests that while the fight is expected to be close, Lopes’ superior striking and defensive skills might be the decisive factor. Bettors should consider Lopes for a strategic wager, focusing on his recent form and technical acumen as potential keys to overcoming Ortega’s gritty resilience.
Free Pick: Diego Lopes -145
This featherweight bout between Brian Ortega and Diego Lopes at UFC 306 is set to be a highlight for MMA enthusiasts and bettors alike. With both fighters bringing distinct advantages to the octagon, the match promises to entertain and provide valuable insights for future MMA betting predictions. As fight night approaches, the excitement builds for the spectacle of combat and the strategic betting opportunities it presents.
