Buffalo Bills (10-6) vs. Miami Dolphins (11-5)
At Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday afternoon, in a highly anticipated NFL Week 18 showdown, the Buffalo Bills, with a stellar 10-6 record will meet up against Miami Dolphins who boast an 11-5 mark and are looking forward to this crucial contest – which should attract plenty of spectators and bettors searching for Super Bowl expert free picks.
This season has been marked by the Buffalo Bills’ exceptional offensive performance. Quarterback Josh Allen has been at the heart of it all with his 65.6% completion rate and 3,947 passing yards; his ability to connect with key receivers and make significant plays has been particularly impactful. James Cook led their rushing attack which amassed 1,086 yards behind Cook’s agility and ability to find gaps; Stefon Diggs provided Allen with reliable targets, amassing 1,096 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns as part of his receiving corps.
Miami Dolphins’ offense has also shown tremendous promise. Tua Tagovailoa has excelled as quarterback, completing 69.6% of his passes for 4,451 yards at an outstanding completion percentage. De’Von Achane made an immediate impactful statement when he scored seven times from 10 games played with 744 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns recorded; his dynamic speed has added dynamic element to their offensive attack while tight end Durham Smythe has provided consistent and reliable receiving capabilities throughout.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Game Info
| When: | Sunday, January 7, 2024, at 8:20 PM ET |
| Where: | Hard Rock Stadium |
| TV: | NBC |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Josh Allen QB vs. Tua Tagovailoa QB
Josh Allen once again anchors an explosive Bills offense with his cannon arm and underrated running ability. He remains one of the best deep passers in football, constantly challenging defenses vertically. Allen has cut back on ill-advised throws with better decision making in year two under OC Ken Dorsey. He should feast on a Dolphins secondary that has surrendered 20+ touchdown passes.
After dealing with injuries early in his career, Tua Tagovailoa has developed into an extremely efficient passer in this Mike McDaniel offense. He excels at quick reads and getting the ball out fast to playmakers in space. However, Tagovailoa lacks elite arm strength and could struggle if Miami falls behind early. This could force him to try and match Allen throw-for-throw, putting more pressure on the Dolphins defense.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -160, Total Odds: 49
The Bills are slight favorites in this matchup, as indicated by the betting odds. The spread of -3 points suggests a close contest, with a total points line of 49 indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
The Bills have trended UNDER at a high rate recently, going below the total in eight of their last twelve overall. This includes an UNDER mark in four of Buffalo’s previous six road games against Miami. While the Bills passing attack garners attention, they have struggled to cover spreads of late. Their early-season dominance feels like a distant memory, with Buffalo going just 3-9 against the spread (ATS) over their last twelve contests.
Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
In contrast, bettors have fared well backing Miami down the stretch. The surging Dolphins have covered in 13 of their previous 19 games overall, sparked by their offensive explosion. Miami has also gone OVER the total in four of its last six overall matchups as Tagovailoa and the offense hum. Most notably, Dolphins home games with Buffalo have been high-scoring affairs recently.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins 1/7/24 Betting Picks
Considering the teams’ performance and betting trends, this matchup is poised for an exciting, high-scoring game. The Bills, despite being the favorites, will face a stern test against the Dolphins, especially at Miami’s home turf.
For bettors, the Dolphins could provide value, particularly with their strong ATS record and home performance. In terms of prop bets and over/under, the potential for a high-scoring game should be considered. Those engaged in top online betting should also consider the in-game dynamics and individual player performances.
