Buffalo Bills (4-2) vs. New England Patriots (1-5)
As the NFL enters its seventh week, the Buffalo Bills, sporting a strong 4-2 record, travel to Gillette Stadium to face the New England Patriots, who are looking for a turnaround with their 1-5 start. This crucial match-up is gaining a lot of attention, not just because of the teams’ contrasting fortunes, but also because of the intense rivalry history these teams share. For those scouting for NFL free picks, this game promises to be a treasure trove of possibilities.
James Cook has been a beacon of consistency for the Bills, displaying his prowess with 363 rushing yards in 6 games, and an average of 4.8 yards per rush attempt. Alongside him, Stefon Diggs continues to be a lethal weapon in the air, amassing 620 receiving yards with an impressive 12.7 yards per reception. His synergy with quarterback Josh Allen has resulted in 5 receiving touchdowns, proving once again that their partnership is one of the most dynamic in the NFL.
On the Patriots’ end, Rhamondre Stevenson, with 234 rushing yards, tries to break through the defensive lines, although his average of 3 yards per rush might raise concerns. In the receiving department, Kendrick Bourne has been a standout, collecting 307 receiving yards at 11 yards per reception. He’ll be pivotal in the Patriots’ attempt to unlock the Bills’ defense and bring some much-needed dynamism to their play.
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Game Info
| When: | Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Gillette Stadium |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Josh Allen QB vs. Mac Jones QB
Josh Allen of the Bills is in stellar form this season. Over 6 games, he boasts a 71.7% completion rate, reflecting his improved decision-making skills and poise under pressure. With 1576 passing yards, 13 touchdowns, and a passer rating of 102.8, Allen is a prime candidate for MVP considerations. His ability to make explosive plays is further evidenced by his longest pass of 55 yards.
In comparison, Mac Jones for the Patriots is navigating a more challenging trajectory. Over the same number of games, Jones has a completion rate of 64.2%, but with only 1208 passing yards and a concerning 7 interceptions against his 5 passing touchdowns. With a passer rating of 74.4, Jones will be looking to rejuvenate his performance and lead the Patriots to a much-needed win.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -361, Total Odds: 43.5
The betting odds favor the Buffalo Bills, a reflection of their current form and recent head-to-head history against the Patriots. The -6.5 spread for the Bills at -123, while seemingly generous, is an indicator of the confidence bettors have in their current form. Those looking for value might find it tempting to back the Patriots at home, given the +6.5 spread at +100.
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
Buffalo has been a consistent performer, not just on the field but also against the spread. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of their last 7 games, and they are 12-3 SU in their last 15 matches. This dominance extends to their recent games against the Patriots, where they’re 5-1 ATS and 6-1 SU. Their away form also stands out with the total going UNDER in 9 of their last 10 road games and a commendable 4-1 ATS record when playing in New England.
New England Patriots Betting Trends
The Patriots’ recent form is cause for concern. They’ve struggled to cover the spread, with a 1-9 ATS record in their last 10 games. Their woes continue at home, where they are 0-6 ATS. With the total going UNDER in their last 5 games, bettors might be considering this trend when making their picks. Moreover, the Patriots’ record against AFC teams stands at a worrying 2-6 SU.
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots 10/22/23 Betting Picks
Considering the form and trends, it’s evident that the Buffalo Bills hold the upper hand in this encounter. Their offensive firepower and solidity in defense make them favorites to cover the spread. The Bills’ consistency both on the road and against the Patriots makes them a strong pick.
However, the unpredictability of NFL games and the sheer rivalry of this matchup could provide some unexpected results. For those looking to capitalize on prop bets or the over/under market, the trends indicate a potential UNDER game. For enthusiasts looking to engage with top live betting websites, this game promises a host of opportunities.
Free Pick and Prediction: Buffalo Bills 26, New England Patriots 15
