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NFL Week 6 Betting Prediction: Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets 10/14/2024

Buffalo Bills (3-2) vs. New York Jets (2-3)

As the NFL season pushes forward into Week 6, the upcoming Monday night game features a clash between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium, with kickoff set for 8:15 PM ET. The Bills, standing at 3-2, are looking to build momentum against the struggling Jets, who have notched a 2-3 record. This game, airing live on ESPN, has drawn significant attention from fans and top sportsbooks, indicating a potentially tight contest. Given the current standings and past performances, this matchup promises to highlight key strengths and vulnerabilities in both teams.

James Cook does a fantastic job for the Buffalo Bills on the ground, obtaining 309 rushing yards on 70 attempts and four touchdowns this season thus far with 61.8 yards being the average per game. Not only are his numbers impressive but also Khalil Shakir with his receiving of 230 yards and two touchdowns from 18 catches, provides an offensive capability which any defense would dread. The ability to create yards after the catch has also been an important aspect of Buffalo’s offensive game plan since Shakir was drafted.

Now, on the other hand, the New York Jets have Aaron Rodgers in their offense, who too is strong-armed but has faced 13 sacks to his defence. Breece Hall, the best running back there, only has 197 yards and two touchdowns and it is Garrett Wilson who has become the number one target of Rodgers with 292 yards on 33 catches. Their contribution collectively will be paramount since they will be looking to penetrate the fortified defense of Buffalo.

 

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Game Info

When: Monday, October 14, 2024 at 8:15 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium
TV: ESPN
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Josh Allen QB vs. Aaron Rodgers QB

This season has seen Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills perform amazingly, as he has a 102.8 passer rating, throws for 945 yards and eight touchdowns, and yet he has not been picked at all. His level of performance indicates his importance to the Bills as a player who can throw the ball well and control it in order to allow the team some respite while dominating in games.

On the other hand, New York Jets’ Aaron Rodgers is an older player, but he has not been very successful this season as evidenced by his 81.6 passer rating, in 1093 yards, four interceptions, and 13 sacks. Even with his experience, health factors, overconfidence issues or inner side factors could tilt the match in the Bills’ favor even against Rogers, which due to overeager and overconfident value can be taken advantage of by a rampant Bills defense in their coming matchup.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Buffalo Bills -126, Total Odds: 46.5

The betting odds favor the Bills slightly, despite them being the underdog in the point spread. The game’s total, set at 46.5, reflects the expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair, considering both teams’ past performances and current trends. Bettors should consider the Bills’ stronger offensive capabilities and the Jets’ tendency to underperform against the spread at home.

 

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

The Buffalo Bills have not been dominant against the spread, standing at 2-4 in their last six games. However, their direct matchups against the Jets tell a different story, with a 6-2 SU record in the last eight encounters. Historically, the total has gone UNDER in five of Buffalo’s last six road games, which might influence betting strategies, especially considering their defensive capabilities.

 

New York Jets Betting Trends

The Jets have struggled more prominently, with a 4-11 ATS record in their last 15 games and a concerning 2-5 ATS record in their last seven home games. Their recent performance against Buffalo, resulting in UNDER in five consecutive games, suggests potential difficulties in breaking down the Bills’ defense, which could be a critical factor in this matchup.

 

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets 10/14/24 Betting Picks

Given the detailed analysis and current trends, the Buffalo Bills seem poised to capitalize on their strengths against a less consistent Jets team. The Bills’ superior rushing and receiving options, coupled with Josh Allen’s efficient play, should steer them to a victory. On the other hand, the Jets will need to substantially improve both their offensive strategies and defensive executions to stand a chance.

Considering the overall dynamics and individual matchups, the Bills appear to be the safer bet. Bettors might also explore prop bets related to rushing yards and receiving touchdowns, given the key players’ stats from both teams. The under on the total points might also be a prudent choice, reflecting both teams’ recent trends. Ultimately, for those seeking winning free football picks, placing trust in the Bills’ ability to cover the spread and possibly the under seems promising.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Buffalo Bills 24, New York Jets 17

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