UFC on ESPN 57 Betting Prediction: Charles Radtke vs. Carlos Prates 6/8/2024
The upcoming UFC on ESPN 57 is set to host a thrilling welterweight showdown between Charles “Chuck Buffalo” Radtke and Carlos “The Nightmare” Prates. This fight promises to be a spectacle for MMA fans and bettors alike, especially those engaging through the top live betting website. Taking place on a Sunday evening at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky, this bout pits the experienced Prates against the resilient Radtke, highlighting a clash of styles and strategies that could sway in any direction. Both fighters bring impressive records into the octagon, with Radtke standing at 9-3-0 and Prates at 18-6-0, setting the stage for a contest that could significantly impact their career trajectories.
Charles Radtke vs. Carlos Prates Game Info
| When: | Sunday, June 8, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET |
| Where: | KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Charles Radtke Analysis
Charles Radtke takes this fight as the man on the receiving end, but the records and statistics of the two fighters indicate that Radtke should not be taken lightly. On average, his fight lasts somewhat more than 9 minutes, and it seems that he likes to go deep into bouts, which may be critical when facing Prates. Again, entering the striking distance with 3.29 meaningful strikes per minute at a 52% rate, Radtke shows pinpoint accuracy. Also, he is very good in the clinch, but rarely attempts takedowns himself, while his takedown defense is unblemished at 100%. In his last fight against Urbina, Shogun demonstrated his chin and the skills to use an orthodox stance and 72 inches reach. In this case, use of his best defense 54% as well as experience in long fights may be crucial for Radtke to beat Pirates’ tendency of aggression.
Carlos Prates Analysis
Carlos Prates, known as “The Nightmare,” has an impressive 18-6-0 record when stepping into the octagon. His nickname is apt, considering his aggressive approach: Prates has delivered a good aspect concerning significant strikes per minute with 4.38 further has a poor striking defense of 37 % , he takes nearly 6 strikes per minute. Standing 6’1″ with a 78-inch reach, switch stance coupled with it gives him physical and fighting capabilities. However, his poor ground game with no takedown attempts in his career points to a lack of expertise and Gracie’s assumption that the fight will mainly be fought on the feet. This is seen when he last fought Giles where he overwhelmed him using his reach and volume striking which is good, but he leaves numerous openings when he is defensive that a smart fighter like Radtke may take advantage of.
Charles Radtke vs. Carlos Prates Stats
| Radtke | Prates | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 9-3-0 | 18-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:54 | 7:39 |
| Height | 5′ 9″ | 6′ 1″ |
| Weight | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach | 72″ | 78″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 3.29 | 4.38 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 56% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.03 | 5.95 |
| Defense | 54% | 37% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.76 | 0.00 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 16% | 0% |
| Takedown Defense | 100% | 66% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Charles Radtke vs. Carlos Prates Betting Picks
Assessing both fighters’ strengths and weaknesses, the betting odds favor Prates significantly, which might reflect his offensive volume and physical advantages. However, Radtke’s tactical acumen and proven track record in defense should not be overlooked. For bettors looking for value, Radtke presents a compelling pick due to the potential return on a resilient, defensively superior fighter against a less defensively inclined opponent.
Given the analysis, the better betting pick could be on Radtke’s side. His ability to absorb fewer strikes and his exceptional defense against takedowns might prolong the fight, potentially wearing Prates down and exposing his lower defensive metrics. This bout could be closer than the odds suggest, making Radtke an attractive option for those seeking a potentially lucrative upset.
Free Pick: Charles Radtke +205
As the bout approaches, the contrasting styles and strengths of Charles Radtke and Carlos Prates will surely provide an engaging contest for UFC fans and a complex puzzle for bettors. This analysis should serve as a foundational guide for making informed decisions in this welterweight matchup. For further insights and betting tips, keep an eye on MMA expert free picks, where ongoing updates and expert opinions can enhance your betting strategies as fight night draws closer.
