UFC on ESPN 59 Betting Prediction: Drew Dober vs. Jean Silva 7/13/2024
As the UFC continues to enthrall fans with its high-octane matchups, the upcoming lightweight bout between Drew Dober and Jean Silva at UFC on ESPN 59 promises to be a spectacle of strategy and strength. Set against the backdrop of Denver’s Ball Arena on July 13, 2024, this fight garners extra attention with its intriguing tale of experience versus rising talent. Keeping an eye on the latest odds and statistics from top bookie software, bettors are keenly assessing the fighters’ past performances and current form to place their wagers wisely.
Drew Dober vs. Jean Silva Game Info
| When: | Saturday, July 13, 2024, at 10:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Drew Dober Analysis
Drew Dober has a UFC lightweight record of 27-13-0 (1 NC): he is relatively familiar with the octagon as a fighter. The fighter with quite a high level of rebounding and phenomenal striking effectiveness is Dober who delivers 4.34 significant strikes per minute though with a 40% accuracy of strikes made. Although his most significant threats are in his ability to strike, especially offensively, he also provides a good demonstration of preserving himself with 51% striking defense. On the grappling aspect, Dober gets 0.71 takedowns within a 15-minute window of time while registering a 18% takedown rate. This tells me of his desire to take the fight to the standing where he could also take advantage of being a southpaw. The last fight against Moicano revealed some weaknesses, and the primary of them is the takedown defense which can become critical in this fight.
Jean Silva Analysis
Jean Silva has less experience with a total fight record of 13 wins and 2 loses but comes forward more aggressive toward this bout. Silva also leaves a great impact when it comes to statistics; , has a significant strike rate of 5.71, and a striking percentage of 54%. His defense is 4% higher than Dober’s at 56%, better grappling proven by the 1.17 takedowns per 15 minutes and 50% takedown accuracy. The extent of Silva’s compliance with the orthodox style and reach disadvantage of one inch may appear small but can affect the striking transitions. In his last fight against Jourdain, he proved that he can stifle his opponent and put him on the cushion now and then, which makes him a dangerous opponent for Dober.
Drew Dober vs. Jean Silva Stats
| Dober | Silva | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 27-13-0 (1 NC) | 13-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:57 | 8:31 |
| Height | 5′ 8″ | 5′ 7″ |
| Weight | 155 lbs. | 145 lbs. |
| Reach | 70″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 4.34 | 5.71 |
| Striking Accuracy | 40% | 54% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 4.23 | 4.11 |
| Defense | 51% | 56% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 0.71 | 1.17 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 18% | 50% |
| Takedown Defense | 56% | 72% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Drew Dober vs. Jean Silva Betting Picks
In reviewing the two fighters, it can be asserted that Drew Dober, through his knowledge and mean striking powers, is rather dangerous. However, some of his recent bouts displayed his takedown defense to be a problem area, perhaps Silva might capitalize on this since the latter has a better accuracy and defense on takedowns. Equally, Silva has a higher striking rate and higher accuracy, hence showing that he was more capable of continuing to outland Dober.
Considering the betting odds with Dober as the favorite at -155 and Silva as the underdog at +130, there seems to be value in betting on Silva. The odds reflect Dober’s experience and fan favoritism, but Silva’s recent performances and statistical advantages in key areas provide a compelling case for an upset. Therefore, the recommendation leans towards taking the underdog, Jean Silva, for this fight, especially for bettors looking for a value pick with substantial upside.
Free Pick: Jean Silva +130
In conclusion, the UFC on ESPN 59 bout between Drew Dober and Jean Silva is set to be a classic showdown of strength and strategy. With both fighters possessing unique strengths and weaknesses, this fight could go either way. However, based on current form, statistical analysis, and UFC free picks today, placing a bet on Jean Silva might just be the smart move for those looking to capitalize on the underdog’s potential for a surprise victory. This matchup, sure to be a highlight of the evening, is not to be missed by UFC enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike.
