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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 246 Betting Prediction: Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas 11/2/2024

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 246 Betting Prediction: Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas 11/2/2024. The women’s flyweight fight between Erin “Cold Blooded” Blanchfield and Rose “Thug” Namajunas at UFC FIGHT NIGHT 246 is also worth watching. This fight is scheduled for Saturday at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, and is one of the most anticipated fights. With Blanchfield entering as the slight underdog at +110 against Namajunas at -130, the UFC betting prediction hype is on the rise with this fight promising to shake the flyweight rankings considerably.

 

Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas Game Info

When: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
TV: ESPN+

 

Erin Blanchfield Analysis

With a 12-2-0 record, Erin Blanchfield is emerging as one of the top contenders in the flyweight division. The fighter is outstandingly known for strong offensive strikes coupled with defensive strikes, landing a whopping 5.47 significant strikes per minute at a striking accuracy of 45%. Defensively, she remains effective with about 58% of all deployed strikes blocked. Interestingly, even her grappling grappling skills are commendable with an average of 2.05 takedowns per bout with an 81% takedown defense. Her last fight – a defeat to Fiorot – exposed her weaknesses, particularly in dealing with opponents who can fight at her level in terms of speed and power. But seeing how she endured and changed her tactics during the fight gives a general sense of optimism about her future fights.

Blanchfield’s approach is both simple and efficient, utilizing lower-body strikes and takedowns at appropriate moments in the match. She typically fights for about 12:33, meaning that fights appear to last more than just the opening round but do not go all the way. This testament to her endurance and ability to apply pressure could be decisive in limiting driven opponents like Namajunas. Young and yet to reach the peak of achievement, Blanchfield’s improvement in striking and grappling metrics portray her as a potential star in this engagement.

 

Rose Namajunas Analysis

Rose Namajunas, who holds a record of 14-6-0, enters this bout with a wealth of experience and an even more sophisticated skill set. She is a tactician offering 3.70 significant strikes per minute which is lower than Blanchfield’s, only taking about 3.38 strikes per minute and achieving a 64% defensive rate. Takedown statistics depict her grappling as an average of 1.55 per every 15 minutes with 53% accuracy. However, a 59% takedown defense rate could be vulnerable against a grappler like Blanchfield. This was evidenced in Namajunas’ latest match against Cortez, where she controlled the fight’s tempo and exploited openings efficiently using her ring craft.

In an attempt to combat Blanchfield, Namajunas has a two-fold approach; she is patient and aggressive when needed, which could serve her well. At 5’5”, it is plausible that Namajunas will fight at longer ranges with her reach, giving her an advantage over her opponent. Already their fight time averages is also bigger of 15:07 meaning they will find themselves in more heated exchanges if that is possible, which may wear thin on Blanchfield’s principles of tolerance and determination.

 

Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas Stats

Blanchfield  Namajunas
Wins/Losses/Draws 12-2-0 14-6-0
Average Fight Time 12:33 15:07
Height 5′ 4″ 5′ 5″
Weight 125 lbs. 125 lbs.
Reach 66″ 65″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 5.47 3.70
Striking Accuracy 45% 42%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 4.34 3.38
Defense 58% 64%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 2.05 1.55
Takedown Accuracy 33% 53%
Takedown Defense 81% 59%
Submission Average/15 min. 1.0 0.4

 

Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas Betting Picks

Analyzing both fighters’ strengths and recent performances, the betting odds slightly favor Namajunas, reflecting her experience and strategic acumen in the ring. However, Blanchfield’s aggressive style and superior striking output pose a significant challenge. This matchup is likely to hinge on Namajunas’s ability to manage the distance and execute her game plan against a younger, possibly more energetic opponent.

Considering the statistical analysis and recent forms, my recommendation leans towards Rose Namajunas as the safer bet. Her experience in high-stakes fights and slightly better defensive metrics provide her an edge. However, bettors looking for a value pick might find Blanchfield’s underdog status enticing due to her high strike rate and defensive capabilities.

 

Free Pick: Rose Namajunas -130

 

Fight night is getting closer and with it comes a lot of excitement fans have for this match in the women’s flyweight division. Both fighters have something to prove so expect a high-octane encounter that will be worth the effort for fans and bettors alike. If however a bet is to be made, given the comprehensive analysis, Namajunas emerges as the best at the best betting sites online, she has a lot of experience as well as a strategic style of fighting that will help her win this intense fight.

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