UFC Fight Night 242 Betting Prediction: Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady 9/7/2024 – As UFC Fight Night 242 approaches, the welterweight showdown between Gilbert Burns and Sean Brady is set to captivate fans at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas this Saturday, September 7, 2024. This bout promises intense action and significant implications for future rankings, making it a critical focal point for MMA betting picks and odds. Both fighters bring impressive records into the octagon. Burns sporting a 22-7-0 and Brady at 16-1-0, indicating a closely matched fight that will undoubtedly keep bettors on the edge of their seats.
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady Game Info
| When: | Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
Gilbert Burns Analysis
Gilbert “Durinho” Burns has set out to mow down any opponent in the ring systematically, and he has tasted success doing it, as he has a record of 22 wins. In fights, Burns can last over three rounds with on average fight time of 12:11, demonstrating a balance between stamina and tactics. His striking, with figures of 3.29 strikes landed per minute and 48 percent accuracy, is strong. But this is often his downfall, grappling, which averages 2.24 biological attempts every 15 minutes with a 38 percent takedown accuracy. While some would dismiss the 50 percent of his takedown defense as a bare minimum, they forget his ability to dictate the tempo of the fight clock and his .5 of a submission attempt every 15 minutes. After all, even coming off a loss to Della Maddalena, Burns’ experience and toughness were precisely what is needed to go through when tackling lesser professional fights versus Brady.
Sean Brady Analysis
In comparison, Sean Brady has an unbeaten run which saw only one loss in his entire career emphasising his reliability and danger in the cast. His stats are a bit better than Burns’ including 53% striking accuracy and a higher defense rate of 61%. In addition, Brady also has the upper hand over Burns in regards to grappling, with an average of 3.29 takedowns made every 15 minutes and an 87% takedown defense which are both very intimidating. His last performance against Gastelum was also one where it was evident how well he was able to cope with pressure and win important fights. Brady’s height advantage and slightly more Takedowns per 15 minutes (1.2), which he may utilize in this close fight to give him the advantage.
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady Stats
| Burns | Brady | |
| Wins/Losses/Draws | 22-7-0 | 16-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:11 | 12:24 |
| Height | 5′ 10″ | 5′ 10″ |
| Weight | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach | 71″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Strikes Landed per Min. | 3.29 | 3.77 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 53% |
| Strikes Absorbed per Min. | 3.42 | 3.55 |
| Defense | 54% | 61% |
| Takedowns Average/15 min. | 2.24 | 3.29 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 38% | 57% |
| Takedown Defense | 50% | 87% |
| Submission Average/15 min. | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady Betting Picks
Due to the statistics and given the recent performances, Sean Brady is the safer choice for UFC Fight Night 242. His striking defense and grappling precision give him the advantage of being in a position to dictate where and how the action plays out, which could result in a decision or a late submission victory. Burns will have to make use of his striking and experience, engaging with Brady at long-range, but breaking through Brady’s defense is going to be a very tall order.
In that order, taking into consideration the current bettings, Brady at -163 should be taken as the favorite. This is due to the fact that his performance history as well as the statistical premise guarantees that Brady will be a wise choice. Betters need to understand the risk pertaining to Brady’s ability to stay ahead in the tactical war within the cage especially in grapples which has been his strongest area.
Free Pick: Sean Brady -163
As the UFC continues to deliver exciting matchups, Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady at UFC Fight Night 242 is one of the bouts that shouldn’t be missed. Placing a bet on Sean Brady could offer a decent payoff for those looking to engage in some action beyond watching. Ensure to explore top betting websites online to find the best odds and potentially profitable betting opportunities for this promising welterweight clash.
