Green Bay Packers (3-5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3)
The NFL Week 10 encounter presents a critical juncture for the Green Bay Packers as they visit the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, November 12, 2023. With the Packers at a shaky 3-5 and the Steelers in a relatively robust 5-3 position, this matchup is pivotal for both teams as they vie for a stronger footing this season. The Green Bay squad, searching for a spark to reignite their campaign, will be put to the test against a Steelers team aiming to solidify their place in the playoff race. For bettors and fans looking for the NFL winning pick, this game offers intriguing narratives and critical matchups across the board.
The Packers’ offensive efforts have largely fallen on the shoulders of Jordan Love, who, despite a sub-60% completion rate, has managed to tally up 1720 passing yards over 8 games. Their ground game has been spearheaded by AJ Dillon, who’s been pushing forward with an average of 3.3 yards per carry. While not earth-shattering, Dillon’s persistent rushing offers Green Bay a semblance of balance. Jayden Reed emerges as a beacon in the receiving corps, with 333 yards to his name and an encouraging 14.5 yards per catch, signaling a potential for big plays downfield, a necessity for the Packers to break open the Steelers’ defense.
Conversely, the Steelers have leaned on the youthful exuberance of Kenny Pickett, who has shown composure in his debut season. His 61.3% completion rate and 1490 passing yards are evidence of his developing chemistry with the team’s offensive system. On the ground, Najee Harris’ production has been more effective, rushing for 382 yards at nearly 4 yards per attempt, giving Pittsburgh a reliable rushing option. In the receiving game, George Pickens stands out as a significant threat. With an impressive 17.4 yards per catch and over 500 receiving yards, Pickens has the potential to exploit any secondary, including that of the Packers.
Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Game Info
When: | Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET |
Where: | Acrisure Stadium |
TV: | CBS |
Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Jordan Love QB vs. Kenny Pickett QB
Jordan Love‘s tenure so far has been a turbulent one, filled with both high expectations and significant scrutiny. Over 8 games, his 81.9 passer rating reflects a need for improvement, especially in terms of accuracy and decision-making. Love’s ability to shake off the pressure and connect consistently with targets like Reed will be paramount in Green Bay’s offensive success.
In the black and gold corner, Kenny Pickett has been a glimmer of hope for the Steelers’ future. With a passer rating almost mirroring that of Love’s, Pickett has managed to maintain a modest turnover margin with only 4 interceptions. His development will be key in this matchup, as he aims to exploit Green Bay’s defensive vulnerabilities and extend plays with his mobility.
NFL Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh Steelers -160, Total Odds: 37.5
The Steelers walk into this game as the favorites with a -160 on the moneyline and a -3 point spread, suggesting confidence among bookmakers in their ability to secure a win at home. The total set at 37.5 speaks to the defensive battle expected, with both teams showing trends towards lower-scoring games.
Green Bay Packers Betting Trends
Green Bay’s betting trends do not inspire confidence among its backers. With a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS) in their last five games and a similar 1-4 record straight up (SU) in their recent outings, the Packers need to find a winning formula fast. However, their ATS performance against Pittsburgh has been strong historically, going 4-1 in their last 5 matchups.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends
The Steelers have been solid ATS, boasting a 9-3 record in their last 12 games, reflecting a consistency that extends to their SU performance in the same stretch. At home, their defense has been particularly effective, contributing to a pattern of the total going UNDER in 4 of their last 5 home games. This defensive strength could be the key against a Packers team struggling to find offensive rhythm.
Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 11/12/23 Betting Picks
Considering the analysis and betting trends, Pittsburgh appears to be in a position to utilize their home advantage effectively. While Green Bay has the tools to challenge, their inconsistent performance makes the Steelers the safer pick, especially with Pickett’s steady improvement and the team’s defensive prowess at Acrisure Stadium.
For those perusing the top online casino and sportsbooks, the Steelers to cover the spread seems like a prudent bet. Given both teams’ recent history with totals, the UNDER also seems appealing. Prop bets might center around Pickett’s passing yards or Pickens’ receiving yards, given his explosive potential.
Free Pick and Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers 20, Green Bay Packers 13