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MLB Betting Prediction: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners 7/19/2024

Houston Astros (50-46) vs. Seattle Mariners (52-46)

As the Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners prepare to face off this Friday night at T-Mobile Park, both teams are teetering close to each other in the standings, making this match-up a pivotal one in the American League landscape. Scheduled for a 10:10 PM ET start and broadcast on MLBN, this game promises intense competition with significant implications for postseason positioning. With their almost neck-and-neck records, this game becomes a top live betting opportunity for fans and bettors alike, who will be keenly watching how these teams perform under pressure.

The Astros arrive in this game with good statistics and a powerful batting order that has played with the percentage of .262 with 457 runs this season. Their hitting muscle is supported by 110 homers and a .418 slugging rate, essentials in the modern line-up. Nevertheless, the teams’ recent results have been somewhat inconsistent; they have recorded 14-6 form in the last 20 games but looked quite weak as of late with a 1-5 record in games against the Mariners. This inconsistency could play a crucial role in the upcoming game, especially considering their road game performance where they’ve seen the total go OVER in 7 of their last 10 games.

Seattle on the other side has a significantly low batting average of .219 total runs of 379 and home runs of 109. However, their batting appears to be less powerful when compared to Houston’s team; their pitching, on the other hand, as per their ERA 3.46 and WHIP 1.08, is powerful. They have been solid defensively and with their pitching most notably in matches against Houston to which the total has gone UNDER 5 of the last 6 games. The Mariners will need to capitalize on their home field advantage, despite struggling with a 2-6 record in their last 8 home games, to overcome the Astros in this crucial series.

 

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Game Info

When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 10:10 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
TV: MLBN
Stream: MLB.TV

 

Framber Valdez (8-5, 3.66 ERA) vs. Luis Castillo (8-9, 3.53 ERA)

Framber Valdez was pitching for Houston this season with records of eight wins and five losses and an earned run average of 3.66. In more than 98.1 innings pitched, Valdez has good control of striking out batters while showing flexibility in walking the batters and he has been also effective in containing home runs which is very important in close games. His effectiveness in creating the ground balls and controlling the tempo of the game will be crucial here against a dynamic and dangerous Mariners team that’ll punish any mistakes from the pitchers.

On the other hand, a Mariner’s pitcher, Luis Castillo has a slight losing record of (8-9) but has a better ERA 3.53 and WHIP 1.17 over 117.1 innings. He has more strikeout and less hit batsmen per 9 innings than Valdez, which portrays him as someone who can handle pressure while on the mound, therefore, a tough nut to crack. It means that Castillo will become useful in preventing the Astros’ batters from doing maximum damage specifically during key late stages of an inning.

 

MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

The betting odds and lines for this game are yet to be determined, but based on the pitching matchup and recent trends, the game could be very tight. Bettors should keep an eye on the updates as they come in, as the odds could shift significantly depending on the market’s reading of these trends and team news leading up to the game.

 

Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston’s ability to win games consistently, except against teams like Seattle, shows they can dominate under the right circumstances. However, their recent struggles against American League teams and specifically the Mariners could worry bettors. Their general trend of scoring high in away games suggests that the OVER might be a safe bet, especially if their bats come alive.

 

Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

Seattle’s strong defensive and pitching performances, especially at home against Houston, suggest that betting the UNDER might again be wise. Despite their struggles at home, their ability to suppress Houston’s batting lineup could be the key to winning not only the game but also for bettors looking for secure picks.

 

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners 7/19/24 Betting Picks

Given the current form and historical performances, this game is likely to be closely contested, but with the pitching edge and the home field, Seattle might just have the slight advantage. Bettors should consider the Mariners for a tight win, particularly through under bets, given both teams’ recent scoring trends.

For those looking into baseball betting picks, consider exploring prop bets on pitchers’ strikeouts or total hits in the game, as both starting pitchers have shown they can control games and rack up strikeouts. Betting on individual performances might provide more value given the unpredictability of the game outcome.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Seattle Mariners 4, Houston Astros 3

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