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UFC 306 Betting Prediction: Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont 9/14/2024

UFC 306 Betting Prediction: Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont 9/14/2024 – As UFC 306 approaches, all eyes are set on the thrilling Women’s Bantamweight bout featuring Irene Aldana against Norma Dumont. Scheduled for Saturday at the impressive Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada, this fight is poised to captivate fans and bettors alike. This matchup, broadcasted live on ESPN+ at 7:30 PM ET, pits two formidable athletes against each other in a contest that’s hard to predict. Both fighters are seasoned competitors, but the betting odds suggest a tight contest, with Aldana listed at -110 and Dumont at -120, making this an intriguing prospect for those frequenting the top casino online.

 

Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont Game Info

When: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
Where: The Sphere, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
TV: ESPN+

 

Irene Aldana Analysis

In her MMA career, Irene Aldana boasts 15 wins, 7 losses, and a draw. Aldana is highly regarded as an aggressive striker. She disposes of 5.24 significant strikes per minute with a 40% accuracy. One alarming statistic about her fighting style is the number of strikes on her, as she takes 6.33 hits per minute. Aldana’s grappling stats indicate that she lands an average of 0.16 takedowns every 15 minutes, although her accuracy in these attempts is 50%. This shows that she is more comfortable fighting on her feet. Aldana dismantled Rosa’s game standing up in her last fight, which justifies how she will use her height and reach advantages over Dumont and suffocate her on the feet.

 

Norma Dumont Analysis

A record of 11 victories, 2 defeats, and no draws—on the other hand, this is Norma Dumont’s record. For instance, unlike Aldana, Dumont is much better in grappling, with an average of 1.91 takedowns in 15 minutes of a fight at a much better accuracy of 68 percent. There are upper hands in her striking defense, as she manages to prevent 66% of the total number of strikes landed on her and concedes only 1.89 strikes per minute. While Dumont’s last fight against de Randamie was more about tactics and control grappling, which might help fight against Aldana’s favorite striking, it is more than just outstriking. Dumont will probably try to shorten the distance, with Aldana still standing, and implement her wrestling to pin Aldana down and try to avoid strikes.

 

Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont Stats

Aldana Dumont
Wins/Losses/Draws 15-7-0 11-2-0
Average Fight Time 14:38 14:50
Height 5′ 9″ 5′ 7″
Weight 135 lbs. 135 lbs.
Reach 68″ 67″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 5.24 3.11
Striking Accuracy 40% 49%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 6.33 1.89
Defense 57% 66%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 0.16 1.91
Takedown Accuracy 50% 68%
Takedown Defense 76% 72%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.2 0.0

 

Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont Betting Picks

The encounter is set to be level and thrilling about the provided betting odds. Of the two, Aldana is lethal in striking; however, her apparent high absorption of the supposed valuable strikes is a liability when fighting an intelligent and tactful fighter like Dumont. On the contrary, Aldana must be worried about Dumont’s grappling dynamics, for we know what happens when fighters are taken down and do not get back up.

At this point, it is mainly a question of whether or not Aldana will be able to control the pace of the fight, keep it vertical, and prevent any attempts by Dumont to take her down. If that were the case and she could create distance and strike, she could win the contest by decision. Nevertheless, if Dumont is the one who pushes for the takedown right away and dictates the action in the octagon, there’s a good chance she will be the one getting her hand raised by the judges.

 

Free Pick: Norma Dumont -120

 

This fight at UFC 306 is a classic striker versus grappler matchup, making it a must-watch and a challenging pick for bettors. The minimal differences in their reach and the contrasting styles will likely make this a tactical battle, where game plans and in-fight adjustments will be crucial. For those looking for MMA free winning picks, backing Norma Dumont might be the prudent choice, considering her ability to control the pace and location of the fight, which is often decisive in closely matched bouts like this one.

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