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MLB Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros 7/28/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers (62-42) vs. Houston Astros (53-49)

As the Los Angeles Dodgers face off against the Houston Astros on a sunny afternoon at Minute Maid Park, bettors and fans alike are tuning in for what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Dodgers, with a commanding 62-42 record, come into this game having demonstrated solid form throughout the season. On the other side, the Astros, at 53-49, are looking to leverage their home advantage to narrow the gap. This game not only presents a pivotal moment for both teams in the standings but also offers a plethora of winning MLB picks for keen bettors.

The Dodgers have demonstrated muscle both in batting averages and pitching over the current season. Their team batting average is .253, and the slugging average is .436 to be precise; they have scored 510 runs and 139 home runs. Their pitching staff has equally done their best in fulfilling what is expected of them – the ERA stands at 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.20. This balance has really helped them in their games and this has been highlighted by their current form where they have won 6 out of the last seven matches.

The Astros batting a slightly higher average of .261 than the Dodgers have demonstrated their proficiency at the plate, having achieved 916 hits and 117 home runs this season. Though, their attack has not been so sharp in terms of pitching with a team earned run average of 4.02 and a walks plus hits per inning pitched of 1.3. However, the Astros have a very good home form at Minute Maid Park having lost just twice in 12 games, which is 10-2 SU.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Game Info

When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park
TV: ESP+
Stream: MLB.TV

 

River Ryan (0-0, 0 ERA) vs. Spencer Arrighetti (4-8, 5.65 ERA)

Looking at some of the player statistics, River Ryan, a new face for the Dodgers’ starting lineup, pitches for an ERA of 0 across, through 5.1 innings pitched. He walked 3 in a little over 5 innings, so he must manage his walks, which, at 1.31 WHIP, could be a huge asset especially in a high stress game like this.

On the other hand Spencer Arrighetti has been pretty bad this season with a 5.65 ERA in 86 innings. A high WHIP of 1.58 accompanied by 45 walks shows that he needs to be more effective and stingy when on the mound. Nevertheless, the 96 strikes indicate his capacity to frustrate batting lineups when on a high, which explains his otherwise good performance.

 

MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD

The betting odds are yet to be finalized, but early indications suggest a closely contested game. Given the Dodgers’ overall better season performance but poor road record, and the Astros’ strong home performance, the odds will likely reflect a narrow spread.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers’ recent form, with the total going OVER in 4 of their last 6 games, suggests a tendency towards high-scoring games. However, the trend shifts when playing in Houston, with the total going UNDER in 10 of their last 14 road games against the Astros, indicating a possible influence of the venue on their game dynamics.

 

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros show a consistent pattern with the total going UNDER in 6 of their last 7 games against NL West teams. Their home strength is further highlighted by their recent 10-2 SU record, showing they can leverage their home crowd and familiarity with the park to their advantage.

 

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros 7/28/24 Betting Picks

Considering the detailed analyses and betting trends, this matchup seems poised for a tight contest. The Astros’ home advantage and the Dodgers’ struggling away form might tilt the scales slightly in favor of Houston. However, the Dodgers’ robust lineup could surprise us.

In terms of betting, the better pick might lean towards the Astros given the Dodgers’ road woes. Potential prop bets could focus on strikeouts given Arrighetti’s high strikeout numbers and the Dodgers’ tendency to hit home runs. For over/under bets, considering the trends, betting UNDER might be wise, especially with the historical under-trends at Minute Maid Park.

For those looking to explore more options, checking out top online casino and sportsbook offerings for prop bets and live betting during the game could enhance the viewing and betting experience.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Houston Astros 5, Los Angeles Dodgers 3

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