Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) vs. New York Mets (89-73)
This Thursday, the focus will be at Citi Field as the Los Angeles Dodgers face the New York Mets in Game 4 of the NLCS. The Dodgers come into this game with the firm upper hand as they lead the series 2-1, helping them maintain regular season credentials that saw them succeed with a positive win-loss of 98-64. The Mets, on the other hand, were slightly behind pace with their standing of 89-73 but have shown strength to make it to this important stage in the postseason. Those looking for expert MLB picks should look forward to this game as it offers many opportunities.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are more than just a strong team; they are a menace to any team across their path. Their average of .258 batting and an incredible 233 home runs from the regular season speak for their overflowing difficulty. Exceeding the .446 slugging average and recording .335 OBP, the Dodgers have a batting order that can always keep the opposition’s pitchers under pressure. The highly rated pitching unit which boasts an aggregated ERA of 3.9 and WHIP of 1.23, has been equally effective in preventing runs and dominating the pitch.
On the other hand, the New York Mets have experienced ups and downs, including the winning streak at Citi Field, where they are 14-3 SU in their last 17 home games. Looking at the Mets’ team statistics, their batting average is slightly inferior to the Dodgers at .246 while the Mets’ home runs are 207, which is also less than the dodgers. Nonetheless, their slugging percentage of .415 and OBP of .319 are good. The Mets didn’t lag very far in the pitching stats and held against their opponents’ pitchers almost the same ERA of 3.96 and WHIP of 1.26.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Game Info
| When: | Thursday, October 17, 2024 at 8:08 PM ET |
| Where: | Citi Field |
| TV: | FS1 |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (7-2, 3 ERA) vs. Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA)
The Dodgers’ ace pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto has had a pretty impressive season thus far, as he has a 3 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 90 innings pitched. The fact that he has been able to have over 100 strikeouts while only issuing 22 walks makes him a very fierce asset. Given Yamamoto’s significantly low number of home runs allowed (7) relative to his innings pitched, it goes without saying that he will be crucial in helping the Dodgers maintain their lead in the series. However, His away performance has been on another level, which will prove very important for this away fixture.
Jose Quintana has a season record of 10-10 and a slightly more elevated ERA of 3.75. Over 170.1 innings pitched, he has 135 strikeouts and control (allowing only 22 home runs), characteristics of a solid starter who hides under pressure. Yet, his WHIP of 1.25 indicates that he gives up more base runners than Yamamoto, which could be crucial in a rubber match where every base runner matters. The Mets could use Quintana’s experience, given that he can also pitch long innings, which will help counter the aggressive Dodgers batting order.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -141, Total Odds: 7
Considering the current betting odds, the Dodgers emerge as favorites with a moneyline of -141 and a spread that challenges them to cover 1.5 runs. The total set at 7 leans towards an OVER, reflecting both teams’ recent games’ scoring trends. Bettors might find value in trusting the Dodgers to continue their dominance, especially given their impressive road and head-to-head records against the Mets.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games and have a consistent record of going OVER the total, which suggests their games tend to be high-scoring affairs. Their 7-1 SU record in the last 8 road games further solidifies their stature as road warriors, making them a safe bet for those looking to back the visiting team.
New York Mets Betting Trends
While the Mets have excelled at home (14-3 SU in their last 17 games at Citi Field), their challenge remains in overturning the poor record against the Dodgers, especially the 1-6 SU record in their last 7 home games against them. However, the trend of high-scoring games (OVER in 4 of their last 5 games against the Dodgers) suggests they can push the total beyond the set line.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets 10/17/24 Betting Picks
Given the analysis and trends, the Dodgers appear primed to take a commanding lead in the series with a predicted victory in Game 4. Their balanced attack and solid pitching make them the safer bet, especially with Yamamoto on the mound. Expect a game leaning towards the OVER on the total, given both teams’ propensity to score and the stakes of the matchup.
For the prop bets and the top live betting options, total runs and strikeouts for both starting pitchers, are best to bet on. There’s also the option of the Dodgers covering a spread of -1.5, which is appealing for betters who are comfortable running a little more risk for greater payoffs.
