Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets 6/28/2023 Analysis, Game Tips and Picks
On June 28, 2023, at 7:10 PM ET, the Milwaukee Brewers will play the New York Mets in MLB action at Citi Field in New York. The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds, who have records of 41-38, are now tied for first place in the National League Central Division. With a 36-43 record and three victories in their last ten games, the Mets are now in fourth place in the National League East Division. Despite their challenging season, the Brewers lead their division at the end of June thanks to recent victories. Wade Despite recently pitching two straight shutout innings, Miley’s season was challenging as he allowed 17 runs in 52.2 innings. With a.459 projected opponent Slugging Percentage, a 14.8 Strikeout Rate, and a 4.48 forecasted ERA, Miley’s opponents consistently make great contact and accumulate quality plate appearances to score runs fast.
Despite Miley’s recent improvement, the lineup struggled all season, scoring just 4.03 runs per game and only four runs in the last two games. Only two current batters have an OPS+ more significant than 100, so opposing pitchers may obliterate the struggling lineup.
The bullpen pitchers for the Brewers had a 69.0% save percentage heading into the game and faced 72 save opportunities. 28.3% of the 92 base runners the relievers faced this season reached home plate. The Brewers’ bullpen relievers made 70 appearances in high-stakes situations while entering the game 63 times with runners on base. The Brewers used 248 relievers throughout the season. With 42 holds, the bullpen pitchers are now 13th in baseball. This season, they have made 20 saves, but just nine of their 29 chances to do so have resulted in a save.
- The Brewers are 2-3 in their last five matches against the spread.
- The Milwaukee Brewers are 18-21 in their road games against the spread.
- The totals went OVER in 2 of Milwaukee’s last five matches.
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets 6/28/2023 Analysis, Game Tips and Picks
The Mets, having a dreadful season, hope to have a successful month and move up in their division. Kodai Senga, the Mets’ best pitcher this year, who will start the upcoming game, tossed 76.2 innings while striking out 93 hitters and only gave up 34 runs. With a.221 forecasted opponent batting average, a 28.0 strikeout percentage, and a 3.90 estimated ERA, Senga’s opponents are also struggling to score runs this season.
Compared to Senga, who is having an outstanding season, the lineup struggled, scoring just 4.47 runs per game. The rest of the order struggled, batting a pitiful 222/.314/.529 with 24 home runs and 138 total bases. Francisco Lindor and Francisco Alvarez combined for 27 home runs and 210 total bases. Only three hitters have ten or more home runs, and only three batters have 100 or more total bases; opposing pitchers may limit the lineup.
New York bullpen relievers have a 28.4% inherited scoring rate on 109 inherited runners. They employed their relievers 75 times in high-stakes situations and 74 times with runners on base. The Mets now have 48 holds, 79 holds, and ten failed saves. This season, they used 249 bullpen relievers, placing them 11th in the league with a save percentage of 65.5%. New York’s bullpen relievers had 29 chances to rescue a game and succeeded in 19.
- The New York Mets are 3-2 in their last five matches against the spread.
- The NY Mets are 17-27 in their road games against the spread.
- The totals went OVER in 1 of the Mets’ last five matches.
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets. The MLB pick for this game is the New York Mets. Despite their recent troubles, the Mets will start one of their stronger pitchers in the upcoming game, hoping they will get better. The Mets aim to build on a game in which they scored seven runs and drove in runs by making contact and driving the ball against Wade Miley and the other Brewers pitchers. Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and the rest of the squad will accomplish just that. The Mets should be able to contain the Brewers’ offense, which only averages 4.03 runs per game, thanks to Kodai Senga building on a start in which he only allowed two runs and limiting their lineup with multiple strong innings. Because of the start, the bullpen can win the game. The Mets should win if they play well at home. The New York Mets will triumph, with a score prediction of 7-2.
MLB Starting Time: 7:10 PM ET
Location: Citi Field, NY
Date: Wednesday, June 28, 2023
TV: MLB Network
MLB Odds: New York Mets -150
MLB Totals: 8.5
