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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 240 Betting Prediction: Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal 4/6/2024

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 240 Betting Prediction: Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal 4/6/2024

As UFC Fight Night 240 edges closer, the featherweight bout between Morgan Charriere and Chepe Mariscal is garnering significant attention from fans and bettors alike. Charriere, known as “The Last Pirate,” and Mariscal, dubbed “Machine Gun,” are set to clash this Saturday, April 6, 2024, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. With Charriere entering as a slight underdog at +110 and Mariscal favored at -145, according to the best bookie software, this matchup promises an exciting contest of styles and strategies. Both fighters boast impressive records, with Charriere standing at 19-9-1 and Mariscal at 15-6-1, making it a must-watch for MMA enthusiasts.

 

Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal Game Info

When: Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET
Where: UFC Apex Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
TV: ESPN+

 

Morgan Charriere Analysis

Morgan Charriere comes into the fight with a record of 19 wins, 9 losses, and 1 draw. As a well-known veteran of the striking game, Charriere lands a notable 6.75 meaningful strikes per minute with 53% accuracy. He is even a defensive creation, presenting a striking defense of 78%, parrying 2.34 strikes per minute. Yet, grappling lands are his rainy day, with none observed or attempted in 15 minutes of fight. His last victory over Zecchini was an outright demonstration of his striking strength and endurance. Being talented in both areas would probably cause him to make a plan according to which he would try to keep the fight standing, so that he could take advantage of his striking skills to have the upper hand.

 

Chepe Mariscal Analysis

Conversely, Chepe Mariscal knocks the cage door with a 15-6-1 record, including a balanced tool of striking and grappling. Mariscal is clocking 4.67 major strikes per minute, equal to Charriere’s striking accuracy which is 53%, as well. On the contrary, he has more given to him with 3.95 strikes taken per minute and being poor at striking defense with the rate of 52%. What makes Mariscal exclusive is his grappling; he delivers 3.22 takedowns every 15 minutes with a 38% accuracy and accuracy rate of 100% in avoiding the takedown. Having himself submitted his opponent, Jenkins, a few camps ago is showing his ground movement capacity. In line with this, Mariscal will probably implement a strategy characterized by taking Charriere down in order to make use of his ground skills and deal with Charriere’s punching technique.

 

Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal Stats

Charriere Mariscal 
Wins/Losses/Draws 19-9-1 15-6-1
Average Fight Time 3:51 11:40
Height 5′ 8″ 5′ 7″
Weight 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach 69″ 69″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 6.75 4.67
Striking Accuracy 53% 53%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 2.34 3.95
Defense 78% 52%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 0.00 3.22
Takedown Accuracy 0% 38%
Takedown Defense 0% 100%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.0 0.6

 

Morgan Charriere vs. Chepe Mariscal Betting Picks

Studying both figthers’ strengths and the outcome of their recent games, one can expect it to be a reverse striker vs. grappler fight. Charriere’s amazing striking and defense skills make him a tough nut to crack for most of his opponents up on their feet, however Mariscal’s grappling abilities could turn out to be the game changer. Betting trends show Mariscal as the favorite, based on his fighting style and the ability that he has to slow the fight, exert his will upon it, and control its pace and positioning.

Based on the information explored, it seems that Mariscal is going to be more suitable to fight. His grappling expertise and striking resistant skills which are applied to go close to Charriere’s striking weapons will also reduce the same. Additionally, Mariscal’s high-level takedown defense will mean that he has control over the location of the fight if and when it goes there, allowing him to keep Charriere’s shots at a minimum.

 

Free Pick: Chepe Mariscal -145

The UFC Fight Night 240 featherweight bout between Morgan Charriere and Chepe Mariscal is rapidly shaping as the most anticipated contest. Charriere’s beating skills are not a matter for discussion but Mariscal’s wrestling and strategy in fighting are the things that make him the top choice. Before Saturday night, expect many fans and gamblers to be excited about this encounter, those who are interested in MMA free picks should assess the odds and information that might lead to a victory for Chepe Mariscal

 

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