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UFC 304 Betting Predictions: Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda 7/27/2024

UFC 304 Betting Predictions: Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda 7/27/2024

As UFC 304 gears up for an electric showdown on July 27, 2024, at Co-op Live in Manchester, fans and bettors alike are in for a treat with a featherweight bout between Nathaniel “The Prospect” Wood and Daniel “The Pit” Pineda. This match promises not only a clash of seasoned fighters but also presents interesting dynamics for those invested in top betting sites. Wood, coming off a tough loss, looks to reclaim his momentum, while Pineda aims to capitalize on his extensive experience in the octagon.

 

Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda Game Info

When: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: Co-op Live, Manchester, England, UK
TV: ESPN+

 

Nathaniel Wood Analysis

Nathaniel Wood has an official win-loss draw of 19-6-0. He is lethal with his strikes delivering 5.91 significant strikes per sixty seconds with a striking efficiency of 50%. His defense though is 4.22 strikes per minute, while a part of it allows Mayweather to absorb punches, the same weakness can be fatal when it comes to Pineda. Data of his grappling performance indicates an average of 1.74 takedown per 15 minutes while his takedown defense is 70%. While Wood lost the latest bout to Naimov, he demonstrated helluva striking offense and relatively sound defense that seem to indicate he can apply pressure against Pineda. This means he could be vital when longer durations of the bout are involved since he could maintain a high strike rate while keeping his defense in check.

 

Daniel Pineda Analysis

On the other side, Daniel Pineda‘s record is comparatively better having 28-15-0 (3 NC). This also reveals Pineda fights for an average of only 8:35 including the knockouts his fights seem to be ending one way or the other after a short period of time. On the striking side may not look as explosive as Wood’s with 3.09 strikes per minute and at 49% accuracy, but his grappling is also a strong suit, averaging 1.71 takedowns per round and 1.7 submissions per round in 15 minutes. Pineda was defeated by Caceres in his last fight but a good ground work together with a higher takedown and submission rate than that of Caceres may give him the nod if he is to take out Caceres early and get into top position.

 

Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda Stats

Wood  Pineda
Wins/Losses/Draws 19-6-0 28-15-0 (3 NC)
Average Fight Time 12:57 8:35
Height 5′ 6″ 5′ 7″
Weight 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach 69″ 69″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Strikes Landed per Min. 5.91 3.09
Striking Accuracy 50% 49%
Strikes Absorbed per Min. 4.22 3.18
Defense 56% 46%
Takedowns Average/15 min. 1.74 1.71
Takedown Accuracy 48% 25%
Takedown Defense 70% 48%
Submission Average/15 min. 0.5 1.7

 

Nathaniel Wood vs. Daniel Pineda Betting Picks

In light of such statistics and bouts, it should be noted that Nathaniel Wood has a slightly more favorable matchup than Daniel Pineda based on the British striker’s technical advantages in kicking and better defensive numbers. On the flip side, expect Pineda’s grappling and ground game to trump Felder if he secures the takedown, on the same note, Felder’s striking is more lethal and might force ‘The Cuban Missile’ to think twice before coming into his域. Wood is the favorite in this regard, thus making the betting odds to be -275 because he has the capability of beating the odd set for Pineda, which stands at +235.

Choosing between Wood’s striking superiority and Pineda’s grappling prowess, the better pick seems to be Wood. His ability to land significant strikes and defend against takedowns provides him a strategic advantage, particularly in a bout that may favor stand-up exchanges over ground fights.

 

Free Pick: Nathaniel Wood -275

 

As UFC 304 fast approaches, the betting landscape is ripe with opportunities. Nathaniel Wood, with his striking efficiency and resilience, makes a compelling pick against Daniel Pineda. For those looking to engage in this exciting matchup, checking out free UFC 304 picks today could provide further insights and betting strategies, ensuring a well-rounded approach to what promises to be an exhilarating bout.

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