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NFL Week 12 Betting Prediction: New England Patriots vs. New York Giants 11/26/2023

New England Patriots (2-8) vs. New York Giants (3-8)

Beginning this Sunday at MetLife Stadium, NFL Week 12 brings with it an intriguing matchup featuring rivalry and redemption between New England Patriots (2-8) and New York Giants (3-8). Fans and experts in NFL picks and predictions alike are closely monitoring this contest, hoping for improvement following what has otherwise been an underwhelming campaign for both clubs.

The Patriots’ offensive performance this season has been mixed. Their quarterback, Mac Jones, has shown signs of promise but their overall performance in the passing game has been lackluster. Rhamondre Stevenson has been an effective running back with 482 yards over 10 games; though more explosive plays would benefit their rushing attack. Kendrick Bourne has emerged as an invaluable target with 37 receptions for 406 yards – which includes his ability to gain yards after catch. Nonetheless, more consistency and playmaking abilities from their receiving corps would elevate their offensive performance.

The Giants’ offense has been propelled by running back Saquon Barkley. Barkley has been the cornerstone of New York’s running attack, amassing 651 yards over 8 games rushed while Darius Slayton has been equally instrumental with 30 receptions for 419 yards on the receiving side. While New York has shown promise with its ground game, their overall offensive attack remains imbalanced across both phases.

 

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants Game Info

When: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Mac Jones QB vs. Daniel Jones QB

Mac Jones of the New England Patriots has struggled this season. Completing 65.4% out of 324 attempts with an accuracy rate of 65.1% from 324 attempts, his turnover ratio has seen 10 interceptions equaling touchdowns (or 11 total). Jones has 2031 passing yards but an average of only 6.3 yards per pass attempt indicates his conservative approach and short throws; 21 sacks indicate protection issues and possible hesitation under pressure as his passer rating of 80.2 leaves room for improvement.

Daniel Jones of the New York Giants has had his share of challenges this season as well. Although his completion percentage stands at 67.55%, this accuracy hasn’t translated to significant offensive production – only 909 passing yards and two touchdowns against six interceptions over six games as his contributions remain limited. Furthermore, Jones’ high number of sacks (30) speaks volumes of issues beyond his control related to an offensive line that fails to provide consistent protection. Jones’ 70.5 passer rating represents these struggles while emphasizing how important support from running game and receiving corps is.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: New England Patriots -180, Total Odds: 33.5

The betting odds favor the Patriots with a spread of -3.5 and a moneyline of -180, indicating that they are expected to win by more than a field goal. The total set at 33.5 points suggests a low-scoring game, reflecting the offensive struggles of both teams.

 

New England Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have had difficulty against the spread, going 1-6 over their last seven games against it. Their overall performance has been subpar; evidenced by their 2-8 record. Also notable in their last nine contests has been an UNDER total for 7 of those 9 matches; suggesting difficulty scoring goals.

 

New York Giants Betting Trends

The Giants have also struggled in recent weeks, going 3-8-1 ATS over their past 12 games and 2-14 against the Patriots at MetLife Stadium (four wins overall and four straight SU). Many of their total games have finished UNDER, signaling an absence of offensive firepower.

 

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants 11/26/23 Betting Picks

Based on both teams’ trends and performances, this matchup should be an intense defensive contest with limited scoring. While the Patriots may struggle, their overall performance edges out that of their opponent; to keep this game competitive for themselves, Giants must leverage home field advantage and hope for an impressive showing by Barkley to remain in contention.

As far as betting picks are concerned, the Patriots appear to be the safer bet due to their consistent season. Those interested in best online betting could explore under markets and defensive player props which could provide added value considering both teams have offensive struggles.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: New England Patriots 17, New York Giants 10

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