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NFL Week 4 Betting Prediction: New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers 9/29/2024

New England Patriots (1-2) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-2)

Both the New England Patriots and the San Francisco 49ers face off in a critically significant NFL Week 4 game despite having one win and two losses early in the season. The meeting is set for Sunday, September 29, 2024, and will draw the attention of fans as both teams try to get to the .500 winning record again. This is not only a clash in the action of the two opposing teams, but also the center of attention of the bettors and the top sportsbooks interested in assessing the actual capabilities of the two underperforming teams.

In terms of the Patriots’ offense, there has been a pulse of activity, mostly on the ground. Rhamondre Stevenson, the dependable offensive flamethrower, has been slowly nursing an injury for 3 games and has so far accumulated 224 yards, scoring twice and averaging a respectable 4.3 yards a carry. He has certainly salvaged the worst beginning of the year in the history of the franchise so far. Also, an emerging player is wide receiver DeMario Douglas whose practices proven him to be a good target even with low yardage performance.

Now coming back to the second game the fortunes for the 49ers seemed to have considerably switched after Jordan Mason’s introduction at runningback as he practically carved through the defenses. In total 324 yards of the ball were rushed at an astonishing rate of a magnificent 4.8 yards Mason’s position will be key to the Pats. In addition, Jauan Jennings has been breathtaking where in 18 catches he has been able to gather 276 yards and three catching balls.

 

New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers Game Info

When: Sunday, September 29, 2024, at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Jacoby Brissett QB vs. Brandon Allen QB

Jacoby Brissett of the New England Patriots remains mainly risk-free and effective with a non-eventful 79.9 passer rating and no interceptions on his albums. It is reasonable to suggest that his clock management ability could come in handy in settling the 49ers’ offensive lineup. Brissett’s reserved attitude towards risks in attacking play is aimed at enforcing ball control and limiting counter-attacks, which is what the Patriots need when playing against a potentially strong opponent.

On the other hand, this season’s storyline features him playing more for the San Francisco 49ers than the enigmatical Brandon Allen informative of this year’s action because of the game limitations presented. This limited view may be strategically beneficial or disadvantageous depending on the usage of Allen against the Patriots’ defense by the 49ers. His performance — or lack thereof — would be a game changer, elevating this particular match-up above the level of a standard pegged contest.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: San Francisco 49ers -600, Total Odds: 43.5

The odds heavily favor the 49ers with a -12 point spread, indicating expectations of a dominant performance at home despite their poor record against the spread in recent games. The total over/under at 43.5 reflects anticipation of moderate scoring, driven by both teams’ current offensive outputs and defensive vulnerabilities.

 

New England Patriots Betting Trends

The Patriots have shown resilience against the spread, especially on the road where they are 4-1 ATS in their last five outings. However, their overall record of 1-4 SU in recent games reveals a struggle to clinch games, which might worry bettors considering their underdog status this week.

 

San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends

San Francisco’s betting trends depict a stark contrast at home, where they’ve gone 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, hinting at persistent overvaluation by the markets. Their SU record is better at 10-5 in the last 15 games, but their inability to cover spreads could be a red flag for heavy favorites.

 

New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers 9/29/24 Betting Picks

Given the data and trends, the Patriots might defy the odds by covering the spread, making them an attractive pick for cautious bettors. The key will be their defense’s ability to contain the 49ers’ potent rushing and high-flying receiving corps. For those eyeing the total points, the game could very well swing towards the over, given the offensive weapons on both sides.

Finally, considering the unpredictable nature of both teams’ performances thus far, the safest bet might be on the points total. However, for those looking to pick a side, the Patriots offer value as underdogs who could keep the game closer than the odds suggest. Keep an eye on any evolving game-day conditions or lineup changes, which could further influence these daily NFL picks.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: San Francisco 49ers 27, New England Patriots 17

 

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