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NFL Week 11 Betting Prediction: New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders 11/19/2023

New York Giants (2-8) vs. Washington Commanders (4-6)

As NFL Season 11 advances to Week 11, a matchup between the New York Giants and Washington Commanders at FedEx Field on Thursday has gained considerable attention. The Giants, currently sporting a 2-8 record, face a Washington Commanders team with slightly better prospects with 4-6 record, and this contest not only holds divisional bragging rights but has crucial ramifications for NFL picks and predictions in betting pools.

The Giants have struggled on offense this season under Daniel Jones’s management, particularly their passing game which has been disappointing. Their ground game, led by Saquon Barkley’s 568 rushing yards at an average of 4.1 yards per attempt has shown some promise; yet his efforts remain futile as scoring opportunities remain scarce despite these impressive numbers; in their receiving corps, however, Darren Waller remains reliable but lack of an efficient passing attack has masked his potential impact. Mobility has been key for Jones at times, but for the Giants to turn things around they require much more from him.

On the other side of things, the Washington Commanders have demonstrated a more balanced offensive approach. Sam Howell has been exceptional as their quarterback with 2783 passing yards and 17 touchdowns to give their passing game more variety than that of Giants’ quarterback, Eli Manning. Brian Robinson Jr has provided solid rushing contributions with 485 yards accumulated by an average of 4 yards per carry while Terry McLaurin, their leading receiver has amassed 601 yards while maintaining an impressive average of 11.8 yards per reception; their combination of rushing and receiving prowess gives them a distinct edge over Giants.

 

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders Game Info

When: Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: FedEx Field
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Game Pass

 

Daniel Jones QB vs. Sam Howell QB

Daniel Jones‘ performance this season has been a concern for the Giants. With a passer rating of just 70.5, his inability to consistently drive the offense down the field is evident. His 6 interceptions and 30 sacks show a vulnerability under pressure. In contrast, Sam Howell of the Commanders has been a revelation. A passer rating of 91.5, complemented by 17 touchdowns against 9 interceptions, shows his ability to make big plays while maintaining a level of consistency.

 

NFL Odds/Point Spread: Washington Commanders -6.5, Total Odds: 36.5

The betting odds favor the Commanders, with a -6.5 point spread reflecting their superior season performance and home-field advantage. The total odds of 36.5 points suggest a low-scoring affair, likely due to the Giants’ offensive struggles and both teams’ recent trends toward lower-scoring games.

 

New York Giants Betting Trends

The Giants’ betting trends don’t inspire confidence. Their 2-8-1 record against the spread (ATS) in the last 11 games and a 1-7 straight-up (SU) record in their last 8 games indicate a team struggling to meet expectations. However, their historical ATS record of 5-1 in their last 6 games against Washington is a glimmer of hope for bettors considering backing them.

 

Washington Commanders Betting Trends

The Commanders have been inconsistent, with a 2-6 SU record in their last 8 games. However, they have excelled in November games, going 5-0 ATS in their last 5. Their poor ATS record at home against the Giants (0-5 in the last 5) could be a cause for concern, but their overall recent form suggests they could overturn this trend.

 

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders 11/19/23 Betting Picks

Based on current form and historical trends, it would appear that the Commanders have an edge in this matchup. Their balanced offense and Howell’s efficient passing game should exploit Giants’ defensive weaknesses; however, history suggests otherwise; their potential upset makes this matchup unpredictable yet enjoyable for online betting enthusiasts.

The Commanders appear to be the obvious choice here, given their recent form and home field advantage. An under on total points could also prove fruitful given both teams’ offensive struggles – prop bets on individual player performances like Howell’s passing yards or Barkley’s rushing yards may provide extra value.

 

Free Pick and Prediction: Washington Commanders 24, New York Giants 13

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