New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox 7/22/2023 Picks, Odds, and Prediction
On Saturday, July 22, 2023, at 7:10 PM ET, the New York Mets will take on the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Fenway Park, Massachusetts. Before its series with Boston, New York suffered four straight defeats to San Diego and Los Angeles before regaining its footing and winning three of its next four games. The Mets are six games under.500 and seven games out of the Wild Card race.
New York hits.237, averages 4.44 runs, 18th in runs scored, and 19th in OPS. With 121 home runs and 76 base stealers this season, the squad is ranked 10th in both categories. The Mets’ pitching staff ranks 21st with 30 quality starts, a 1.34 WHIP, and a 4.36 ERA (18th).
Scherzer will take the mound for the visitors on Saturday. The 16-year veteran has a 107:26 K: BB ratio this season. He recovered from a poor start at San Diego (five runs on six hits and two HRs), and in seven innings versus LA, he pitched a one-hitter. He hadn’t allowed a home run since his last start on June 1.
The relievers for the Mets entered the game with a 64.7% save percentage in 95 attempts. Throughout the season, bullpen pitchers allowed 133 baserunners, of which 27.8% resulted in runs for their team. The Mets’ pitchers faced the plate 95 times in high-stress situations and 90 times with runners on base. The Mets have used 309 bullpen pitchers this season. The relievers are seventh in the MLB with 58 holds overall. They have made 22 saves so far this year but have missed 12 of their 34 chances.
- In their last five games against the spread, the New York Mets have a 2-3 record.
- The NY Mets have a 20-30 road record against the spread.
- In one of the Mets’ last five games, the totals were OVER.
New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox 7/22/2023 Picks, Odds, and Prediction
Only three games separate Boston from the final WC spot as it returns to the Wild Card tournament. Could the Red Sox move up the standings? Boston is fifth in terms of hits (4.263), runs scored per game (5.01), and OPS (7.63). This season, it ranks 21st in home runs with 105 and 17th in base thefts with 66. The pitching staff is ranked 23rd with 29 quality starts, a 4.35 ERA (17th), and a 1.30 WHIP (18th).
Paxton will make his home team’s debut tomorrow. The 10-year veteran took a battering from the Cubs in his most recent start (six runs in three innings), resulting in a 68:17 K: BB ratio. He only allowed his previous seven opponents to score three runs or less.
Boston relievers scored 29.8% of the 94 inherited base runners. They used relievers 61 times with runners on base and 78 times in high-stress scenarios. The Red Sox recorded 38 holds in 73 save chances but failed to save eight. With 292 bullpen relievers on the field this season, they are now ranked third in MLB with a 77.1% save rate. Boston asked relievers to enter the game in 35 save situations, and they came away with 27 saves.
- In their last five games against the spread, the Red Sox have a 2-3 record.
- The Boston Red Sox had a 26-23 record against the spread in their away games.
- In three of the Red Sox’s past five games, the totals were OVER.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets. The Boston Red Sox are the MLB’s pick to win this game. The Red Sox have strong home performance (.290 BA,.356 OBP,.465 SLG, and.821 OPS in 48 games), and many people aren’t very confident in predicting Scherzer will have another strong start because of his recent tendency to hit too many home runs (eleven HR in his last eight starts). The Mets’ season batting line against left-handed pitchers was only 0.230/.307/.391/.699 points. Although Paxton may not be a household name, he is a seasoned veteran who held eight opponents to two or fewer runs this season. He is expected to make up for his poor performance in his previous start by having a much stronger start at home against the weak Mets lineup. Bet for Boston on Saturday at Fenway. According to the odds, the Boston Red Sox will triumph 6-4.
MLB Starting Time: 7:10 PM ET
Location: Fenway Park, MA
Date: Saturday, July 22, 2023
TV: Fox Sports 1
MLB Odds: New York Mets +107
MLB Totals: 9
