New York Mets (89-73) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (93-69)
The National League Wild Card series is coming to an exciting end as the New York Mets take on Game 3 against the Milwaukee Brewers. With the best-of-five series level at one game apiece, this is a pivotal game. The game is on Thursday, October 3, 2024, at 700 PM ET at American Family Field. As the date of the game approaches, every MLB fan is wondering, who is going to be the pick in favor of the MLB Wildcard winning pick team of this competitive series?
The New York Mets have had a rollercoaster season, finishing with a respectable 89-73 record. However, their performance against the Brewers has been less than stellar, especially on the road. The Mets have struggled historically at American Family Field, which is evident from their recent 4-16 SU record when playing in Milwaukee. Despite these challenges, the Mets showed resilience in Game 2 of this series, pulling off an 8-4 victory to even the series. This team’s tenacity and ability to bounce back under pressure will be crucial as they face a formidable Brewers squad in a hostile environment.
On the other side, the Milwaukee Brewers, boasting a stronger regular-season record of 93-69, have consistently had the upper hand in matchups against the Mets, particularly at home. The Brewers’ performance in recent games, including a 5-3 victory over the Mets just a day before, highlights their capability to capitalize on home-field advantage. With a solid batting average of .248 and a slightly better on-base percentage than the Mets, the Brewers have the offensive tools needed to challenge the Mets’ pitching staff. The Brewers’ bullpen, with a commendable ERA of 3.65, is another key factor in their pursuit of a series-clinching win.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game Info
| When: | Thursday, October 3, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET |
| Where: | American Family Field |
| TV: | ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Jose Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA) vs. Tobias Myers (9-6, 3.00 ERA)
Jose Quintana, the Mets’ seasoned pitcher, brings a mixed bag of results into this decisive game. With a 10-10 record and a 3.75 ERA, Quintana’s season has been a balancing act of brilliant outings and challenging games. His experience and ability to handle pressure will be tested against the Brewers’ lineup. Quintana’s knack for limiting home runs and managing tight situations will be vital, especially in a high-stakes playoff atmosphere.
Tobias Myers, the Brewers’ starting pitcher, has shown promising signs this season with a record of 9-6 and an impressive ERA of 3.00. Myers’ ability to maintain a lower WHIP of 1.17 compared to Quintana’s 1.25 suggests better control and efficiency on the mound. The Brewers will rely on Myers’ sharp pitching to stifle the Mets’ hitters and secure early advantages in the game.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -125, Total Odds: 7.5
The betting odds favor the Brewers slightly, which reflects their home advantage and recent performance trends. However, the Mets’ tenacity makes them a potential upset candidate, especially with the over on 7.5 looking tempting considering the recent high-scoring affairs both teams have been involved in.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets’ recent betting trends don’t paint a favorable picture, with significant struggles in games against Milwaukee. However, their capability to overcome adversity, as shown in the second game of this series, indicates that they cannot be discounted. The Mets will need to leverage every opportunity and play error-free baseball to change their fortunes.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have been strong, especially in home games against the Mets, with a dominating 16-4 SU record in their last 20 encounters. This trend suggests a psychological edge that the Brewers have when playing in familiar settings, coupled with their consistent performance throughout the season.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers 10/3/2024 Betting Picks
Looking forward to the very end, the Brewers would have the edge because some of their matches are played on home turf, and they have done marginally better as a whole team than the Mets this season. People should not underestimate the Mets’ propensity to spoil the party and their tenacity in the final moments of the game. This could be a game where both bullpens will be called to action, and composure will be a precious commodity.
As for prop bets and over/under, those who want to, because history tends to repeat itself when these teams play in October, highs have risen quite often, thus, the over is probably the most enticing option on the table right there. Also, since it is expected that this game will be tight, filing the Mets +1.5 spread instead may be much more comfortable for punters who wish to have leeway in case of a tight one. This matchup also promises entertainment style of best live betting since the very high pace of the game will most probably make the odds waver, which sharp bettors will take advantage of.
