New York Mets (89-73) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (95-67)
As the postseason heats up, the NLDS presents a thrilling showdown between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. With the Phillies finishing the regular season with an impressive 95-67 record and hosting the series’ first game, the stakes are incredibly high. This matchup is a postseason highlight for fans and bettors alike, offering valuable insights for MLB expert free picks.
The Mets achieved success amidst struggles during the course of the season, finishing the season with an 89-73 record and a playoff spot. Their team batting average stands at .246, not the best, but what rates well is the slugging average of .415 and on-base average of .319. This includes their ability to score 768 runs and hit 207 dingers, illustrating how well they can turn plays into points. However, in this regard, the pitching numbers are not that promising, as there is a team ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.26, which are angles the Phillies can look at and find some weaknesses.
Philadelphia has all the reasons to think that they will have success in the playoffs as they did throughout the regular season and at home with the skills of their players winning 9 out of the last 11 home games. Compared with the Mets, the Phillies have a slightly better batting unit as seen from their averaged team batting average of .257 and more total hits of 1423. Their slugging and on-base percentages stand at .425 and .325, respectively with an average earning runs average of 3.85 and a whip of 1.24 coming from even normal pitching statistics.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Game Info
| When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 4:08 PM ET |
| Where: | Citizens Bank Park |
| TV: | FOX, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
David Peterson (10-3 W-L, 2.9 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (16-7 W-L, 2.57 ERA)
In the postseason, David Peterson has a 10-3 record and an impressive 2.9 ERA making him a reliable pitcher under pressure. Peterson’s control should work well against the Phillies’ hitters as he has 101 strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.29 through 121 innings pitched. Although he has given up 46 walks and 8 home runs, his approach is to focus on the rhythm of the game and use his team’s defense to limit the damage, which is essential to beating the Phillies’ batters in particular.
Zack Wheeler paints an even more impressive picture for the Phillies, armed with a 16-7 record and a stellar 2.57 ERA. His command over 200 innings with 224 strikeouts and a low WHIP of 0.96 illustrates his dominance on the mound. Wheeler’s ability to limit opponents to fewer runs (20 home runs allowed) while maintaining control (52 walks) makes him a formidable opponent for the Mets’ bats.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -189, Total Odds: 7.5
The current odds favor the Phillies, reflecting their home advantage and stronger season finish. The spread and moneyline suggest confidence in Philadelphia’s ability to secure a win, but the close total points to an expectation of a tightly contested game, potentially hinging on the performances of the starting pitchers.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets have shown resilience, going 4-2 SU in their last 6 games and maintaining a strong record against divisional rivals. However, their struggles on the road against Philadelphia (3-8 SU in their last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park) could be a concern. The over trend in October games indicates their games tend to be high-scoring under postseason pressure.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have been exceptional at home and have a strong recent record against the Mets. Their consistent ability to score, combined with solid pitching, has resulted in a series of OVERs in totals betting, a trend that might continue given both teams’ offensive capabilities.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10/5/24 Betting Picks
Analyzing both team’s performances and recent trends, this matchup at Citizens Bank Park is set to be a compelling contest. With the Phillies’ robust home record and the Mets’ potential for upsets, the game is likely to be tightly contested, influenced significantly by the day’s pitching.
Considering the Phillies’ strong offensive and home advantage, they emerge as the safer bet, but the Mets offer value with the +1.5 spread. For those engaging in top online betting, exploring OVER on the total and pitcher strikeouts could be profitable given the trends.
