New York Yankees (61-45) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (65-39)
As the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies gear up for a gripping confrontation at Citizens Bank Park, the MLB picks and prediction circles are buzzing. The Phillies, leading with a commendable record of 65-39, host the Yankees, who stand at 61-45, on July 30, 2024. This matchup not only brings together two of the league’s powerhouses but also promises to be a key contest in shaping the postseason landscape.
The Yankees have been inconsistent and demonstrated a 1-4 record in the last five games. However, they maintain a fairly low strike rate which sums up to .248 and yet this team has recorded 152 home runs this season, meaning they are expensive in acquiring points from few chances. Their batting has been somewhat reliable but their pitching has been a bit poor with an era of 3.67. More losses in the recent past have been linked to issues that affect most of their pitchers on the field that could be capitalized on by the Phillies team.
On the other hand, the Phillies seem to have more of a fighting spirit, and slightly better form in their last games, with a record at 2-3. Top this up with what they have better stats in; they post a batting average of .256, and the pitching staff post a better ERA of 3.46. This gives them an equivalent power-hitting entity in comparison to the Yankees; proving that they can also match New York in the slugfest.
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Game Info
| When: | Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET |
| Where: | Citizens Bank Park |
| TV: | TBS |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
Gerrit Cole (3-2, 5.4 ERA) vs. Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.44 ERA)
Gerrit Cole has been relatively mediocre this season with an elevated ERA of 5.4 and a WHIP of 1.46 over 35 innings pitched. His WPA assaults might consist of giving up home runs (9 this season) which could be a major downer against a team that possesses significant power. The relative performance level of Cole and his capacity to get back to his best form will greatly influence the Yankees’ potential in this game.
Aaron Nola has been also a great asset for the Phillies in the starting lineup as he is 11-4 with the average ERA of 3.44 and the WHIP of 1.06 and 130.2 innings pitched. His control and capacity to pitch out contenders were remarkable 126 strikeouts, his throwing contained few walks (31) and could be ranked as an excellent pitcher on the mound.
MLB Odds/Point Spread: TBD, Total Odds: TBD
The betting odds for this game remain TBD, but given the Phillies’ home advantage and recent form, they might be slight favorites. Bettors should keep an eye on the evolving odds as they can offer insights into potential underdog value, especially if the Yankees’ odds are favorable.
New York Yankees Betting Trends
When it comes to traveling, the Yankees have been rather mediocre when it comes to ATS, possessing a record of 28-27. Their form in the previous games is more inclined towards the high-scoring encounters; totals went OVER in the last 4 of five games. It might continue this trend because of the powerful batting but profound pitching.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Philadelphia’s betting trends also reflect their performance, being somewhat equal at home and on the road. Nevertheless, their home game totals have seen the OVER hit in less than half the games, this could be due to a love for close low scoring affairs which would be quite contrary to the affairs seen from the Yankees of late.
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies 7/30/24 Betting Picks
The statistical insights and recent performances suggest a tightly contested game, likely leaning towards a high-scoring affair given both teams’ offensive capabilities. The Phillies’ slightly better pitching might just edge them ahead.
Considering the trends and matchups, a prediction for a high-scoring game seems reasonable, possibly going OVER the total odds. Bettors should consider the Phillies for a straight win, especially if Cole’s recent form persists. This matchup offers a valuable opportunity for engaging with the best online betting platforms, possibly exploring prop bets on strikeouts and home runs given the teams’ tendencies.
Free Pick and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 6, New York Yankees 4
